Gold is now the top U.S. export

(numismaticnews.net)

92 points | by iamnothere 3 hours ago ago

40 comments

  • jpollock an hour ago

    I wonder how much of that are foreign central banks moving their gold reserves out of the USA... France, The Netherlands and Germany have been moving gold.

    https://www.bbc.com/news/articles/cvgyn8q8gqxo

    • morsch 43 minutes ago

      France completely exited New York, the Netherlands roughly halved what they've stored there. That was in 2026. They didn't physically ship any of it, they sold it and rebought in Europe.

      Germany moved 111t from New York in 2016, and, afaict, nothing since then. There's still 1236t left.

      Italy also keeps over 1000t in New York (no plans for repatriation).

      • JumpCrisscross 38 minutes ago

        > They didn't physically ship any of it, they sold it and rebought in Europe

        This is effectively outsourcing that process to the banks.

        • minraws 30 minutes ago

          Banks can keep it in US and stay happy, they don't necessarily immediately need physical gold. So it's quite efficient, lots of govts do similar stuff.

          • JumpCrisscross 14 minutes ago

            > Banks can keep it in US and stay happy

            If the Banque de France holds physical in New York and sells it to JPMorgan (nothing moves) and then in Paris buys contract for physical from UBS, there will probably need to be physical gold that moves.

            In all likelihood, Swiss gold held by e.g. a Gulf customer might be sold to Paris (nothing moves) and JPMorgan may entice Venezuela to take those contracts on its balance sheet (nothing moves). But if it’s a big trade, the price of delivering physical in Paris (or Genève) will go above spot in New York at which point it’s profitable for JPMorgan to take delivery, load up planes and physically ship gold.

    • iamnothere 27 minutes ago

      It’s specifically nonmonetary gold, so that’s a separate issue unless those nations were holding non-reserve gold here.

      Although a sibling commenter mentioned that they moved their gold by selling it and rebuying it in Europe. If that gold qualifies as non-reserve gold after sale, and is moved out after sale to (for example) China, then perhaps?

    • progval an hour ago

      Do they count as export if the owner doesn't change?

      • codethief 31 minutes ago

        If central banks sell their gold in the US and buy new gold abroad (to save themselves physically transporting the gold across the ocean[0]), I suspect that the demand this creates for gold abroad will ultimately cause US gold exports to rise, too.

        [0]: See the link in https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=50134172

    • mqus 21 minutes ago

      From the article: > The U.S. government is still reporting that its gold reserves are unchanged, so these exports look to be coming from current mine output and recycling operations.

      Not sure if "The U.S governments gold reserves" also includes the ones from other countries though.

      • exe34 20 minutes ago

        Probably been moved to mar a lago for safekeeping at this point.

    • csomar 34 minutes ago

      I don't think that counts as exports although they could be selling in the US and buying locally where traders move the gold (then it will be counted as exports).

    • dyauspitr 24 minutes ago

      Probably all of it.

    • samudrijan an hour ago

      So not actually productive exports. Just draining the coffers as the criminals in charge loot the commons.

  • _ache_ an hour ago

    If you think that USD value will drop sharply, it's a logical thing to do.

    • f001 24 minutes ago

      It’s more of losing trust in the US. If they don’t believe they’ll have access to it when needed or if they believe it might be seized for whatever made up reason, makes sense to move it somewhere they’ll have control over it.

    • bigmadshoe 4 minutes ago

      Why would the dropping value of the USD be a factor in selling gold? Doesn't holding gold hedge against exactly that?

      I think the real reason is that they're afraid of political instability in the US that may result in 1) an inability to retrieve their gold, or 2) the government confiscating it.

    • declan_roberts 34 minutes ago

      I don't quite follow. Countries hold gold to protect their own currency from devaluation, not bc they expected it to become stronger against a dollar.

      • _ache_ 3 minutes ago

        If you have USD and you think it will value less soon, you change it to gold instead. If you own gold in the US and think that the USD value will drop very low, you move out of the USD fearing gold retention.

      • jack_pp 18 minutes ago

        How does holding gold protect from devaluation? No one has currency backed by gold any more.

        • scotty79 10 minutes ago

          > How does holding gold protect from devaluation?

          I think the idea is to rise the value of your currency, you rise the demand for your currency, by selling for it something that everybody wants, like gold.

          Of course this demand is artificial and you'll run out of hold to sell at some point, but it can hopefully carry you over thd bump.

          • irishcoffee 5 minutes ago

            I still don’t get it. Why does everyone want gold? Its uses are some types of electronics and jewelry. Almost seems like crypto, it has value because it is somewhat rare… and everyone else also thinks it has value.

            Sincere question.

            • theendisney a minute ago

              To trade with Anunnaki. They need it to repair Nibiru's failing atmosphere.

      • scotty79 12 minutes ago

        If you sell something in US, you get paid in US dollars. If you believes dollars soon won't be worth the paper they are printed on, you immediately spend dollars of something that has durable value and take it with you instead.

    • IAmGraydon 18 minutes ago

      They think the Trump administration will confiscate it.

      • Dumblydorr 16 minutes ago

        Whatever would give them that idea…

  • XCSme an hour ago

    I thought it was tokens

  • manlymuppet an hour ago

    How much of this is exports being ranked by value, and gold, even a little being worth a lot, quickly becomes the “top” export despite being relatively small in absolute quantity terms?

    • ashdksnndck 28 minutes ago

      Was anyone confused by the title and thought we are exporting more gold in volume or weight than other products? It seems obvious that gold must be winning on value.

    • bigmadshoe 3 minutes ago

      Exports are typically ranked in dollars, not in kilograms. Do we think about the weight of GPUs a country exports or their value?

    • ceroxylon an hour ago

      From the article:

      >That’s not just because the price of gold reached record high prices. In February 2026, the tons of gold exported may have set an all-time record.

      • manlymuppet 42 minutes ago

            > Normally, America’s highest value exports are either oil, pharmaceuticals, or aircraft and their parts.  Not now.  Starting in October 2025, the value of gold exports has topped all other categories almost every month.
        
        
        From what I’m reading, the article does rank exports by value.

        Relative to quantity, the price of gold might have less to do with why it’s the top of the list, but gold being more valuable in general might still be the main reason it’s at the top.

        For example:

        June

        Oil at $1 a barrel

        Gold at $10 a ton

        100 barrels of oil exported - $100

        9 tons of gold exported - $90

        By value, oil is the top export.

        ——-

        July

        Oil at $1 a barrel

        Gold at $9 a ton

        100 barrels of oil exported - $100

        12 tons of gold exported - $108

        By value, gold is now the top export.

        ——-

        Even though the price of gold dropped—-the inverse of our current situation to illustrate an extreme—-the general higher price of gold is more relevant to the ranking than its quantity increase.

  • EA-3167 an hour ago

    I doubt the veracity of this article. All previous metal exports from the US, including and not limited to gold, came third in exports as of mid-year.

    https://logisticsmaterial.com/trade/americas-biggest-exports...

    edit: A better source that uses Census BEA data: https://ustradesignals.com/statistics/exports-by-industry

    and says the same thing.

    edit2: A third source using different data saying the same thing. https://tradeint.com/insights/us-export-data/#elementor-toc_...

    • ceejayoz an hour ago

      Why'd you trust this particular article?

      https://imgur.com/a/bAbAFru

    • thisisthenewme an hour ago

      The article that you posted seems to be LLM slop with no references to their claims and the article in the post references data from bea.gov so :shrug:

  • metalman 13 minutes ago

    ton for ton the US top export is CO², and it's largest import is O², or was, if it has slipped then that is the main reason behind the export of ag, as all of it is tied to actual industrial capacity

  • leopoldcongo 21 minutes ago

    All the gold was stolen from Africa or South America by the Europeans no?

  • leopoldcongo 21 minutes ago

    Didn't euros steal all their gold from India Africa south America etc...?

  • throw73847939 an hour ago

    Gold is tiny compared to oil and other energy exports. I would more watch for drop in energy exports, and how US is screwing its partners right now!