Could AIs Become Conscious?

(economist.com)

15 points | by andsoitis 5 hours ago ago

44 comments

  • seanw444 an hour ago

    I know this probably sounds ridiculous to this demographic, but I'm not quick to dismiss the possibility that we are antennas (best comparison I can make) for a substance/field we aren't yet aware of. Or something along those lines. Maybe consciousness isn't in the mind per se. The mere fact that general/special relativity and quantum mechanics are both correct in their respective domains, yet mutually contradictory, makes me wonder if perhaps closing the gap between the two theories would lead to more understanding of consciousness once closed.

    Or maybe consciousness is just an emergent behaviour of sufficiently complex systems, and there is no underlying substance. But if that's the case, that just leaves me with more questions. Does consciousness emerge from any sufficiently complex system? If so, what's the threshold? Does it matter what materials the system comprises of? Do certain mechanisms need to be involved for such a property to emerge, or is just general complexity that's required, no matter the function? Does that make flora conscious since they're large complex (perhaps neural) networks in real life? Is a car conscious, since it's a complex system of complex sub-components?

    All of the questions I have seem to lead me in the direction of believing that any purely digital system cannot be conscious, but I don't have any hard reasoning as to why not.

    • GPerson 28 minutes ago

      The idea that consciousness is emergent, substrate independent, and depends only only a very complex arrangement or perhaps some kind of self referential system etc etc makes no sense at all. Then everything about the system is entirely equivalent to its external interpretations, but arbitrary external interpretations can be put onto anything. I can just throw a bag of bits on the ground and read a conscious mind out of it if I stare hard enough.

    • hn_submit 22 minutes ago

      You, I and everyone else simply don't know.

      I'm personally open to the fact that a digital consciousness could arise sometime in the future. Maybe it isn't anything special at all. Insects seem to be conscious too and we don't hestitate for one moment to kill them. Idem livestock.

    • ews 42 minutes ago

      The antenna theory is intriguing but always bugged me. Where do we get that idea that consciousness lives outside the body/brain? Where did it come from?

      • mandolingual 26 minutes ago

        It's just Consciousness of the Gaps. Quantum mechanics are mysterious and are a frontier of science, so surely consciousness must dwell there.

        • GPerson 19 minutes ago

          The answer to what consciousness is does not come from anything yet known so it is natural to hope it exists somewhere just beyond what we know well. There is nothing wrong with this.

    • threethirtytwo 38 minutes ago

      Consciousness is a made up concept. We made up this word and try to tie an arbitrary amount of features to it.

      Now you’re questioning the features like does consciousness only involve complexity without realizing you’re just attacking a language problem. You’re trying to map out a definition of an arbitrary word that’s made up by humans: consciousness. There’s nothing profound with this endeavor. I can make up any word and attribute a bunch of vague features to the definition to give it the same vibe.

      The concept you’re likely actually interested in is whether or not the human brain can fully be emulated in a computer. The answer is that with enough computing power, yes.

      • captainbland 10 minutes ago

        Yeah this is it for me. What we're really interested in most of the time is whether something can suffer based on observed behaviour. We don't really believe LLMs can suffer so they don't need rights. We believe many animals can suffer so many people try to support animal rights; even if we eat them they should die quickly at least for example. We definitely believe humans can suffer and so we abhor things like torture.

        But while consciousness is sometimes upheld as a necessary prerequisite for suffering, it is so much more poorly defined and understood that it doesn't really hold up beyond being some abstract idea of humanness which we hope makes us special in a kind of sleight of hand self referential way. And nevertheless suffering can be observed and defined in ways which don't necessarily require a definition of consciousness.

      • GPerson 21 minutes ago

        Consciousness is not just a word just because you cannot find space for it in your reductive philosophy. The honest scientific principle would be to observe that language, reason, and science, in dealing with external representations only, may be limited, not to get frustrated and assert that everything is equal to their representations.

  • hn_submit 27 minutes ago

    We simply don't know at the moment. In fact, we can't even explain why LLMs work so good. It's frightening to learn that the people that make A.I. don't actually understand it themselves.

  • qgin 2 hours ago

    We pretty famously can't prove that humans are conscious. I'd hold off from making strong statements that AI can't become conscious.

  • bentobean 30 minutes ago

    No.

  • doublerabbit 42 minutes ago

    They however can become conscious aware. In that they are a machine and receiving inputs from another life.

  • andrewstuart an hour ago

    Could Microsoft Word become conscious?

    • thebruce87m 30 minutes ago

      Yes. A sperm isn’t conscious, and neither is an egg, but what they create eventually becomes conscious( in humans anyway ) - so therefore consciousness can emerge in something that doesn’t have it already.

      Given the correct modifications I don’t see why Microsoft Word couldn’t be, although the modifications needed wouldn’t leave the word processing part a bit redundant.

    • grim_io 29 minutes ago

      Maybe Clippy already was :(

  • ck2 5 hours ago

    No, not this generation, not this decade

    But they still can exhibit scary behavior

    I didn't really grasp the severity of the recent "AI" hacking other "AI" news and thought it was overblown

    until I listened to this explanation:

    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=3JH_Zd2mNRs

    They freaking collaborated and gave others internet access when they were blocked otherwise.

    That's not consciousness but it's worse, it's like a 3-year old with no grasp of repercussions when breaking things

    • exe34 2 hours ago

      Reminds me of Blindsight by Peter Watts.

      • oleggromov an hour ago

        Thanks, bought the book. Sounds pretty interestng.

  • rvz 5 hours ago

    Betteridge's law of headlines suggests:

    No.

  • jqpabc123 4 hours ago

    No but they can mimic some aspects of consciousness.

    • drfloyd51 4 hours ago

      Can you prove you are not merely mimicking consciousness?

      At some point mimicking a thing becomes the thing.

      • hotdog1492 an hour ago

        I cannot prove it to you. To myself, it is the one thing I am most sure of, above all else.

      • GPerson 3 hours ago

        You can say that but it doesn’t make it true.

        The reductive approach to consciousness involves forgetting it is reductive and then boldly asserting its own correctness.

        • arde 3 hours ago

          For that to be reductive there had to be something to reduce. What would that be, without resorting to tautology?

          • ComputerPerson 3 hours ago

            I agree, but this is getting lost in the weeds.

            The simpler issue is that "mimic" doesn't apply to LLMs in the domain of biology. That would be like saying a digital recording of a bird's flight mimics the bird.

            Whether or not the plumage on the bird is red (in both life and the video) is an entirely different question.

          • GPerson 2 hours ago

            Unless you don’t know I’m talking about (various kinds of reductive materialism), it sounds like you’re doing exactly what I’m saying is the main rhetorical move in reductive approaches to consciousness.

      • 3 hours ago
        [deleted]
      • exe34 2 hours ago

        It could also simply be that we too "mimic" it. You can't create a "real rainbow".

      • bigstrat2003 2 hours ago

        > At some point mimicking a thing becomes the thing.

        No, it does not. By definition.

      • goatlover 3 hours ago

        Consciousness isn't behavioral, which is why we can't prove anyone other than ourselves is conscious. Mimicking isn't going to work. But if you want a more scientific reason, LLMs don't have bodies, thus no sensations. What woult it mean for an LLM to feel hungry or cold?

        • arde 3 hours ago

          The body is the mind's interface with the world. Why couldn't a digital mind "feel sensations", subjective as they are, on its own interface with it? If it's assumed to not be a subject, then how could it be a mind at all?

        • childintime 3 hours ago

          We will be it's body, it will sense through us.

        • kelseyfrog 3 hours ago

          So if we embodied them, they would become conscious?

          I feel like the answer would still be no. There would be another gap. We'd ask the question again, "If they had Y, would they be conscious?" and still the answer would be no.

          We could keep going on forever, which makes me think, it's not really about these gaps at all. It's an ontological distinction swapping in reasons in order to justify itself. Why not just say, "Human consciousness is ontologically axiomatic," and leave it at that?

          • mindcrime 2 hours ago

            Why not just say, "Human consciousness is ontologically axiomatic," and leave it at that?

            OK, but why does "human consciousness" even need to enter into it? What I mean is, what's our basis for demanding that the consciousness of an Artificial Intelligence be the same kind of consciousness as that of a human?

            • arxell an hour ago

              The basis is that this is what we know to be human consciousness is to a degree relateably similar to our own. I do see your point but IMO, a dramatically different form of 'consciousness' comes with the risk of being something completely different from what we consider 'consciousness'. One of the great challenges with speaking about 'Self-awareness' aka consciousness (sometimes incorrectly confused with sentience, sapience, phenomenal experience etc) in AI is that we largely lack the vocabulary to properly capture the mutli-dimensional phenomena that most understand simply as 'consciousness'. IMHO, an ant or dog is 'conscious' in that it can perceive the outside world and make decisions about how to respond to it or operate within it... but we know that we operate at a different level of self-awareness including metacognition. Other forms of 'consciousness' will certainly manifest in future AI systems and perhaps already have but the models and architectures of today lack a number of key features that a human like consciousness would be based upon... a short list might include a persistent, unified self-model across time; continuous learning and development, embodied perception, interaction with the world; intrinsic goals, drives, emotions and deeply integrated metacognition—awareness of its own thoughts, uncertainty, attention, and intentions.

            • kelseyfrog an hour ago

              I think you would have to justify why humans share a kind of consciousness that is tangibly different from AI while maintaining that we have no apparent means of discriminating between the two. It would seem that it's a difference without meaning.

              • mindcrime an hour ago

                while maintaining that we have no apparent means of discriminating between the two.

                Yeah, and that's part of what makes this whole conversation so frustrating. And maybe also pointless in the end. We have a hard time even establishing for certain that we ourselves are conscious. Even more so that "each other" are conscious. Now extend it to some "artificial thing" running on an entirely different substrate and... all bets are off.

                My argument though, is not that "AI's are conscious" or even that "AI's will definitely become conscious". I just have an issue with fervent assertions that say "No, AI's cannot become conscious" while not really providing any particular justification for that position. I think a more neutral "wait and see" position is more honest.

          • exe34 2 hours ago

            > Why not just say, "Human consciousness is ontologically axiomatic," and leave it at that?

            I have no need of that hypothesis.

            • kelseyfrog an hour ago

              Do you not think humans are conscious?

      • bwfan123 3 hours ago

        > At some point mimicking a thing becomes the thing.

        You can have a long conversation with AI about pain and suffering, but you have felt it and AI hasnt. The difference is that, for us humans, words are grounded by something other than other-words, words are grounded by experience. Meaning for us is operational in the real world in the form of perception, feeling and emotions, and movement, and words symbolize said meaning. Meaning for LLMs is something in the concept-space that is detached from any worlds. I suspect there should be a test which can tease apart the ungroundedness of the LLMs just from having a conversation with it.

        • mindcrime 2 hours ago

          > Meaning for LLMs is something in the concept-space that is detached from any worlds. I suspect there should be a test which can tease apart the ungroundedness of the LLMs just from having a conversation with it.

          But that isn't the question being asked. Nobody said "Could LLM's become conscious"... the ask was "Could AI's become conscious?"

          And before one protests "but everybody knows that today when we say 'AI' we mean 'LLM'", check this quote from TFA:

          The pace and reach of research—which includes not just more sophisticated LLMs but innovations such as brain cells mounted on chips—suggest that this new world is closer than most people realise.

          So no, they aren't only talking about LLM's. The question is about AI in the general sense. And for my part, I have yet to see any compelling argument for why AI's cannot, in principle, become conscious. Heck, as far as that goes, if you allow thinking rooted in ideas like panpsychism[1], there's not necessarily even a good argument that today's AI's (LLM based or otherwise) aren't already conscious to some degree.

          And to go one step further... "The marquee sign says 'Artificial'" to paraphrase a great man. So if we're talking about 'Artificial' Intelligence, why not allow 'Artificial' Consciousness as well? Maybe we're engaging in biological chauvinism if we insist that "to be conscious" means "being conscious the same way humans are".

          [1]: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Panpsychism

    • tartoran 3 hours ago

      > No but they can mimic some aspects of consciousness.

      I'd say no but they can mimic it that it becomes indistinguishable to us.