Telephone operators? Word processors and typists? These sound like job categories from the 80s. This just the first couple I noticed in the graph there. Aren't those jobs that were already largely gone even prior to AI?
Anyway, they have that first graph there showing extrapolated employment trends, but there's nothing about the methodology they used to come up with it.
Somehow they're projecting in 2035 employment in that area will spike. Are they thinking that AI going to ban Sunday school, and all religious people will start worshiping the machine god for their laptops?
Because line on graph must go up and the US and therefore to some extent the worlds graph is heavily over exposed to AI so if we rightfully allow it to fail line on graph will not continue to go up.
The main problem is that we keep calling it AI … these text processors are useful but where is the evidence that they will scale to AGI?
If I built a calculator a few years ago then I built a mind blowing calculator today - it does not mean that I’m about to solve every math problem in the universe but it mean that I got good at building calculators
Telephone operators? Word processors and typists? These sound like job categories from the 80s. This just the first couple I noticed in the graph there. Aren't those jobs that were already largely gone even prior to AI?
Anyway, they have that first graph there showing extrapolated employment trends, but there's nothing about the methodology they used to come up with it.
Also take a look at "Directors, Religious Activities and Education." It's one of the roles that ends up at 100% unemployment:
https://whenwillaitakemyjob.ai/projections/directors-religio...
Somehow they're projecting in 2035 employment in that area will spike. Are they thinking that AI going to ban Sunday school, and all religious people will start worshiping the machine god for their laptops?
I have yet to see a these models factor in widespread death, looting, rioting, hunger, etc that will happen long before we hit 100% unemploymenet
> I have yet to see a these models factor in widespread death, looting, rioting, hunger, etc that will happen long before we hit 100% unemploymenet
The industry has been using the wrong metrics. Progress towards AGI should be measured in bodies.
We need rapid AI adoption and scaring people with misleading job loss scenarios doesn't help at all.
AI isn't going to kill humanity, either. I'm 100% certain of that in the next 5 years.
I agree about AI not killing humanity in the next 5 years, but why do we need rapid AI adoption?
Because line on graph must go up and the US and therefore to some extent the worlds graph is heavily over exposed to AI so if we rightfully allow it to fail line on graph will not continue to go up.
The main problem is that we keep calling it AI … these text processors are useful but where is the evidence that they will scale to AGI? If I built a calculator a few years ago then I built a mind blowing calculator today - it does not mean that I’m about to solve every math problem in the universe but it mean that I got good at building calculators
We modeled how fast AI would eat through ~800 jobs. Try it!