Tokenmaxxing is dead, long live Tokenmaxxing

(12gramsofcarbon.com)

41 points | by theahura 2 hours ago ago

49 comments

  • aurareturn 2 hours ago

    Tokenmaxxing was just a way to force employees to start leveraging AI in a meaningful way.

    For companies that have measured performance based on token spend, they can now dial it back. Employees have learned to leverage AI for things they wouldn’t have prior. Now they know what’s possible and what’s not.

    No one is stupid enough to always measure performance based on token spend and have unlimited budget. It was always a temporary thing to transition the employees to a new world.

    Management felt like employees weren't leveraging AI fast enough. That's why in 2025, there were many mainstream articles about how CEOs were forcing their employees to use AI or get fired. Tokenmaxxing was just the other extreme. Companies will arrive at an equilibrium.

    There's no need to overthink this.

    Edit: One reply cited this X post as an example of why management needed to do this. Trying to change a company with hundreds/thousands/tens of thousands of employees is hard. You have to send one simple message at a time. https://x.com/danluu/status/1487228574608211969?lang=en

    • baconmania 2 hours ago

      The implication that tokenmaxxing was an intentional and thoughtfully considered approach rather than blind hype-following by an overpaid manager class who are too far removed from value to understand the downsides of LLMs is hysterical beyond belief.

      • BobbyJo an hour ago

        Yeah, the rationalization after the fact is kind if absurd. IME, the reasoning underlying tokenmaxxing at the corporate level was "we need to leverage AI as much as possible as fast as possible because we're scared our competitors will find some leverage before us".

        Definitely not some measured, long term, rational out of the gate.

      • SR2Z 20 minutes ago

        I really don't understand this take. If you're a carpentry shop that just bought power tools for the first time and you're worried that your employees are sticking with hand tools because that's what they know, then you look for sawdust.

        The goal isn't to have people work at converting wood into sawdust, the point is that if you wanna see if the tools are working you wanna see proof they're actually being used.

        I'm sure there were some people cargo-culting this stuff, but suggesting that the people who run FAANG don't understand the dangers of bad metrics is... interesting.

        • cyphar 11 minutes ago

          Why would a carpentry shop buy hundreds of thousands of dollars of power tools without consulting with their employees to see what they actually need to get their job done more effectively?

          The logic of buying the tools then forcing the employees to use them "or else" is completely backwards in any sane world.

          (Of course, we've all had bosses that went to some marketing seminar and come back having been tricked into buying some wizz-bang widget that we need to now integrate because of a sunk-cost fallacy, but I thought everyone was on the same page that this is not how normal procurement was supposed to work.)

          > the point is that if you wanna see if the tools are working you wanna see proof they're actually being used.

          That is way too charitable, people were being fired based on these metrics and people were absolutely talking about token burn as being a metric for productivity (do I really need to link the Jensen Huang quote?). That isn't an indication of this hysteria being based on "just trying to see if the tools work".

          If you want to see if the tools work, why don't you just ask your employees? Like any normal employer would?

        • trescenzi 6 minutes ago

          The level of trust in leadership is remarkable. There’s reasonable ways to have people try power tools. Have one team use power tools and another hand tools and see the outcome.

          The mandate was literally “the more sawdust you create the more money you’ll make”. Nothing of value is learned by that mandate. Sure it’ll make people use power tools but it won’t cause anyone to learn how to use them to make furniture.

          They might understand the danger of bad metric but that doesn’t mean they aren’t victims of them. If there was intentionality here it was lazy as hell at best.

        • apsurd 11 minutes ago

          > but suggesting that the people who run FAANG don't understand the dangers of bad metrics is... interesting

          You're far too charitable. Understanding has nothing to do with it. Big companies are too far insulated from bad metrics. Middle managers get away with anything and everything because their decisions are too far removed from reality. And they're nowhere to be seen when the other shoe drops. And they'll just leave to a promotion elsewhere if they stay and results are bad.

          Everything is far removed from reality in bigco. So you get a bunch of theater and house-playing with "data-driven" posters up on the wall. It's a show that everyone is aware of and seemingly we all still attend.

      • tough an hour ago

        Worse, tokenmaxxing has been pushed by the labs hoping to charge those tokens by the pound on their API prices eventually, even if temporarily hiding such costs behind "highly subsidized plans" or frequent bug-induced "reset buttons"

    • herval 2 hours ago

      having heard the arguments made by some VP + C-levels throughout the Tokenmaxxing Tulip Mania, I think the interpretation that those mandates were made intentionally for "forcing employees to start leveraging AI in meaningful ways" is too charitable.

      Most companies focused entirely on doing "what everyone else is doing" at best or "to see if Programmer Joe can be as productive as the entire team so we can fire the rest".

      And many indeed fired employees in droves because they were "underperforming in token spend".

    • danny_codes an hour ago

      Yeah there's no way that was the reason. I judge it to be a combination of FOMO and the big tech companies needing to pump demand for compute.

      • aurareturn an hour ago

          the big tech companies needing to pump demand for compute.
        
        Demand is already so large that OpenAI, Anthropic, Meta, Google could not fill it. Tokenmaxxing for these companies strictly to pump fake demand is just plain wrong. The inference demand for these companies internally must be a drop in a bucket in overall inference demand.
    • nitwit005 25 minutes ago

      > There's no need to overthink this.

      I agree, but for a completely different reason. A lot of executives simply chase trends. This was another trend they copied from each other. No reason to imagine they carefully studied the issue.

    • Scene_Cast2 an hour ago

      I remember a story on HN from a while back. The idea is that the larger the org, the simpler the message and the tool has to be to reach everyone. The comment author was saying that as a junior, his company implemented a "tokenmaxxing" scheme for A/B testing - more tests, better for performance review. He, back then, thought it was stupid. However, it got the desired outcome of everyone being familiar with what experiments are and how to run them.

    • linsomniac 2 hours ago

      That's a very good point. Our company has been very thrifty with our AI spend, until a few months ago the average employee had ~$50 of supported spend and I was trying to be an AI leader in the company and figure out what was and was not possible, I had a $100/mo spend (Claude $100 service costs $108/mo).

      We are now seeing that Claude Code can do a LOT of heavy lifting in our day-to-day work, but the bulk of our employees are stuck cost-maxing and literally cannot "imagine how you are running into your session limits". "I'm fine with the $20/mo account."

      There's a case for the cost-maxing has hurt our company.

    • theahura 28 minutes ago

      Independent of everything else, very interesting to see how polarized the comments are here

    • throwatdem12311 an hour ago

      This is an insane level of cope.

      The whole tokenmaxxing thing started because Jensen Huang said insane things like having a single engineer spend 250k in tokens or he’d fire him; and that OpenClaw was basically AGI.

      > No one is stupid enough to always measure performance based on token spend and have unlimited budget.

      Yes the people forcing these mandates absolutely are this stupid because that’s what people like Jensen Huang, Peter Steinberger and Boris Cherney were touting. Seriously have you ever actually talked to an average C-Level about AI? They are absolutely cooked.

      You’re the one that’s overthinking it.

    • qntmfred 24 minutes ago

      might be the first time I've seen this reasonable and obviously correct interpretation of the last 6-12 months so directly and unapologetically stated. bravo

    • Chu4eeno 2 hours ago

      The problem is that managers have no idea how this is supposed to help either, and just get told from above to use AI.

    • clickety_clack an hour ago

      People in small teams with managers promoted from within could probably have had this in mind.

      Big Corporate managers are much more likely to have felt the need to “do AI” from their VPs, who in turn got it from the executive team, who have probably been under fire to produce a coherent magical AI strategy that makes to company scale infinitely while reducing costs. In that environment it’s much more likely to be copy-and-pasted charts from Gartner and buzzwords overheard at conferences, combined with the hope that somebody somewhere will eventually turn it all into something that resembles forward movement.

    • arexxbifs an hour ago

      It really wasn't. It was a moronic move fueled by hype, implemented by the same type of incompetent business leaders who previously, to various extents, drank the blockchain and metaverse kool-aid.

      There was demonstrably zero cost or consequence analysis, which is also why it was dialed back as soon as the (still) subsidized tokens became just slightly less subsidized, and the wise leaders realized they spent huge sums of money with no way of gauging ROI.

      LLMs may have their use cases, but let's not make up free excuses for blithering idiots who, by any rights, should all be fired for cooking up money-burning policies that are textbook implementations of Goodhart's law.

      Anyway, just needed to get that off my chest.

    • catlifeonmars an hour ago

      Do you have a source for this?

      > Tokenmaxxing was just a way to force employees to start leveraging AI in a meaningful way.

      > It was always a temporary thing to transition the employees to a new world.

      Trying to understand your justification for rejecting Hanlon’s razor.

      • aurareturn an hour ago

          Do you have a source for this?
        
        Yes, my own company's decision and logic.
    • dgellow 20 minutes ago

      You’re post rationalizating

    • SilverElfin 19 minutes ago

      No. While what you’re saying makes sense, that’s not the logic behind the token max mentality. It’s simply lazy ineffective leaders who are bad at their jobs and don’t make rational decisions. They really did think spending more is somehow going to make their business better.

    • witx an hour ago

      You're naive, uninformed or turfing if you think companies are still not tokenmaxxing.

      Also tokenmaxxing was never an intentional and smart strategy employed by companies like you say. It was a mix of fear of missing out, signaling to investors they were in on the hype and recouping investmenets in data centers

      • SecretDreams 32 minutes ago

        CEOs are just as, if not moreso, susceptibility to fomo than everyone else!

      • aurareturn an hour ago

        Yes, and Uber was trying to recuperate what investments in data centers?

        Come on now. Let's not think that we are all smarter than management at these companies.

        • SecretDreams 32 minutes ago

          > Let's not think that we are all smarter than management at these companies.

          Outside of a few well run companies, it's hard not to feel like the average IC is smarter than their leadership.

        • therein an hour ago

          Your business will suffer greatly for your short-sightedness. But yeah, go imitate Uber, I am sure you will get just as big as they are this way. Everybody knows Uber's success comes from Apple Vision Pro making their developers oh so productive. You should go to the Apple store right now.

          Your livelihood now depends on tokens remaining subsidized. How long do you think your engineers will continue to have the independent ability to maintain your codebase if the tokens got 20x more expensive?

          Buy and sip that intelligence straight from the tap.

          • aurareturn 43 minutes ago

            I never said go imitate Uber's strategy. I just challenged the person who claimed that these companies are only doing it to recuperate data center investments when Uber doesn't have any data center investments.

    • watwut 33 minutes ago

      > Tokenmaxxing was just a way to force employees to start leveraging AI in a meaningful way.

      Of course not. That is not what it achieved or could possibly achieve.

      > Management felt like employees weren't leveraging AI fast enough.

      I agree it was about their irrational feelings.

    • flunhat an hour ago

      An insane re-writing of the last year of bullshit insanity. Good one.

    • therein an hour ago

      > Tokenmaxxing was just a way to force employees to start leveraging AI in a meaningful way.

      No, it was a sinister way to manufacture your consent to cause cognitive atrophy in your employees so that you lose your ability to independently operate your business.

      You'll come to realize this once they begin charging you more and more for tokens but you will probably not blame yourself for it.

  • theanonymousone an hour ago

    What is meant by a "loop" here? Just repeating the same prompt until you get the desired result? Are subsequent repetitions too close to each other?

    • throwaway89201 28 minutes ago

      > Just repeating the same prompt until you get the desired result?

      Not necessarily the desired result, but until it's 'done', where the LLM itself is the judge on if the is the case according to the given criteria (often just an updated todo-list). One of those extremely simple 'harnesses' (if you can even call it that) was even named the 'Ralph Wiggum Loop' [1] to allude to the braindead-but-persistent tokenmaxxing it results in.

      [1] https://awesomeclaude.ai/ralph-wiggum

  • fraywing an hour ago

    Brute forcing positive outcomes by spending more tokens until a happy path manifests does not solve the underlying comprehension (and liability) problem.

    I fear a world where critical software is stood up with increasingly non-human governed abstraction because it [seems like it] works.

    Software engineers as the review terminal in a conveyor of business-led code mass production... coming to a company near you?

  • behnamoh an hour ago

    Tokenmaxxing was never a thing to begin with. Just because a few companies did it doesn't mean it was a widespread phenomenon.

    • aurareturn 41 minutes ago

      Agreed. There is way too much noise made out of this from a handful of companies.

    • minraws 15 minutes ago

      The issue is the companies doing it could spend billions on tokens and they have. I for one know that there are multiple Big Tech Fortune 500 companies that have burnt over 1B in tokens in a single quarter.

      This is purely for coding and analogues.

  • linsomniac 2 hours ago

    >I’ve basically never heard a business leader say that they were going to set a bunch of money on fire because it made them feel good.

    Really? ~4 years ago our CEO hired a consultant to fly out several times to do team building exercises. We can't afford to do our 3-year server refresh cycle, but the consultant was no problem to pay.

    We just recently had branding consultants come in and also spent thousands of dollars (AWS charges) on rebranding all our photos. We operate in a captive market, if you want to operate in our market you are required to subscribe to our service, and if you aren't in our market you can't subscribe. Branding at the end of the day drives 0 sales.

    Heck, reminds me of the time a company I was working with hired a new CTO and one of the first things he did was as "server renaming scheme" using obscure (to the US-centric staff) city names from around the world (database servers are Swiss city names, web servers are Denmark, storage is Finland). We went from cattle naming to pet naming, for a CTO that lasted ~6 months.

    In my experience company leadership is not quite as thrifty as this article likes to think they are.

    • dijksterhuis an hour ago

      > database servers are Swiss city names, web servers are Denmark, storage is Finland

      consider me officially triggered

    • EA-3167 2 hours ago

      To be fair leaders usually don't say that, they say a whole lot of nothing that means "We're gonna set money on fire because it makes me feel good."

      Or more accurately, "Because this is good for my career."

  • gausswho an hour ago

    It's AI usage mandates now, but rather than focusing on how the current hot topic has ripped through the business world, often without benefit nor repercussions at leadership, I'd prefer to analyze the higher pattern. We've recently experienced such ripples as the metaverse, blockchain/nft/web3, 'the cloud' (and a minor wave of cloud gaming). There was even a teacup buzz of 'apis', oddly disconnected from the semantic web.

    Why do such fever dreams occur at all? Are they getting more prevalent? More damaging? Do they jepaordize the global economy? Should they be regulated in some fashion?

    I can't prove my case, but I think it's a symptom of media manipulation/consolidation, the 'fiduciary duty' delusion, and that shareholders can hold the puppet strings tighter than they used to. More and more, they place their sillytown bets and expect the plebs to dance to them.

  • impish9208 44 minutes ago

    “Thing is dead, long live thing” is dead, long live “thing is dead, long live thing.”

    • falcor84 8 minutes ago

      Phoenixing considered harmful

    • theahura 28 minutes ago

      I do abuse this title format, guilty as charged

  • j45 an hour ago

    Beyond getting momentum going for a cmpany, Tokenmaxxing is lighting money on fire.

    The idea of tokenmaxxing reaches different companies in different waves, so it will be discovered in waves and outgrown in waves in companies and industries in their own cycle.

    In the long run, tokenmaxxing is like drunken sailor spending. Scaling is almost always about a large component of efficiency, and lighting money on fire in the street can only last so long.