Life During Class Wartime

(tbray.org)

82 points | by AndrewDucker 4 hours ago ago

45 comments

  • zug_zug an hour ago

    Yeah I'm glad somebody's talking about it. Wealth inequality seems like it will be THE defining issue of our lives (accelerated drastically by AI).

    I think there are many practical ways to solve it, and would love to see more proposals out there. Instead I tend to see nihilism or division.

    • tardedmeme an hour ago

      Extreme power inequality seems to be the default state of human society. Power concentrates until it's maximally concentrated, then stays there. Power shakeups seem to usually replace one group of elites with another group of smaller or the same size.

      Exceptions to this rule come about for specific reasons. Before the industrial revolution, there just wasn't that much power to go around. Everyone was working their land for sustenance, and the rent-seeking nobility extracted some percent of production because that's what there was to extract. When the industrial revolution came, those who figured out how to exploit it became the new nobility and worked their employees to the bone. It was only after actual, bloody, war between the factory owners and the employees that we got labor rights, which were a truce agreement. And that agreement's been steadily declining since Reagan. It took a while because the beneficiaries of the labor rights era were able to hold onto their wealth and pass it down to their children, but now we're back in the same factory feudalism situation again, but with different technological status.

      • harimau777 38 minutes ago

        That sounds like the same observation that Thomas Jefferson made:

        "The tree of liberty must be refreshed from time to time with the blood of patriots and tyrants."

      • thrance 8 minutes ago

        I think you'll find that any specific change in political directions come about from specific reasons (what would even be the alternative?).

      • readthenotes1 an hour ago

        I don't know why you're down voted. Perhaps the observation that inequality is often and the noble savage utopian dream of "all pigs are equal" is not the norm is too a bitter pill to swallow

        • verall 32 minutes ago

          I believe it's because in many cases, the unspoken follow on to "inequality is the norm" is "and so it's useless (or actively harmful) to try to defy that norm."

          Not that above commentator is meaning that.

          But many "thought leaders" i.e. Jordan Petersen play around with similar motte-and-bailey - "hierarchies are natural" (examples with lobsters, apes, whatever) --> "existing hierarchies should be preserved" (not defended in the argument but implied).

          Probably some downvoters are reacting to the structural similarity, although taken in good faith i think above commenter makes a fine point about the historical pattern of periods of equality being short lived and brought about by great intentional effort while sliding back to inequality seems to occur all of the time.

      • joe_mamba 36 minutes ago

        >Everyone was working their land for sustenance, and the rent-seeking nobility extracted some percent of production because that's what there was to extract

        Until the black death came in the 1300's and killed an estimated 30–60% of Europe's population, and now the nobility had nobody to rent seek or even to work their land.

        So then, for the first time ever, the surviving workers gained bargaining power as landowners (lords) competed for labor, leading to high cash wages, better working conditions, and more freedom for peasants, because the feudal lords hadn't yet figured out how to replace the peasants with slaves, H1-Bs and illegals from across the planet.

        So according to history, including your post-WW1 example, the only times peasants gained bargaining power was when millions of them died through world wars and global pestilence.

        Looking at recent unfolding history, "There's something very familiar about all this" -Biff Tannen

    • _ink_ 16 minutes ago

      What are these practical ways to solve it? And who do you think will implement them? Especially when Billionaires control the opinions of a big chunk of the population.

      • roxolotl 3 minutes ago

        You can read about the transition from the Gilded Age to The Progressive Era in US history for potential solutions. Anti-trust and political reform is a bit part. Political opinions were controlled undemocratically during that period as well through political machines. Direct election of senators, direct primaries, women’s suffrage were enacted to help with that.

      • jacquesm 12 minutes ago

        Guillotines.

    • nervysnail an hour ago

      Marxism-Leninism

      • idle_zealot 10 minutes ago

        If you have a vanguard with special privileges then congrats, you've replaced the inequality of Capitalism with another inequality. This is the exact challenge GP is talking about; it's hard to avoid the tendency for power to accumulate.

      • Muromec 23 minutes ago

        ... was an ideology that gave 200 million of people universal healthcare, universal childcare, public housing and increased luteracy rates but took away democracy and national self determination, unleashed genocide and allied with literal Hitler

  • sherburt3 4 minutes ago

    Tim Bray may be an atheist but he treats the government like a god

  • teyc 8 minutes ago

    [delayed]

  • tantaman 27 minutes ago

    Increased taxation would be defensible if it was paired with spending reform. Increasing the tax to just inflate a bureaucracy helps nobody. Increasing the tax and then directly paying people, with no PMC in the middle, seems win-win-win.

    • idle_zealot 5 minutes ago

      Ideally you'd spend the taxes on things that help people, but I would argue that even simply destroying the taxed wealth would be an improvement over what we have now, if only in that it would counter wealth/power disparity and enable democracy to work better. Allowing a subset of the population to accumulate power divorces their interests from the majority and represents the biggest threat to modern society.

      It would be a huge waste though. We should probably spend it on food, education, and healthcare instead.

    • webdood90 2 minutes ago

      > Increasing the tax to just inflate a bureaucracy helps nobody

      Bureaucracy = jobs, at least. I'd rather that than having it concentrated at the top.

  • cfst an hour ago

    Regarding the IMF report, is it actually harder to hide wealth than income, or is it that there are so few global taxes on wealth that nobody's currently bothering to hide it? It seems like income, being a continuous series of transactions, would be the more difficult of the two.

    • Muromec 20 minutes ago

      Fun fact: when there was meaningful data on Ukraine, it was number 1 in the world by wealth inequality and at the same time had the best score at income equality.

      Likelt has to do with not having any property or wealth taxes, but having modest incone taxes that were rigorosly collected

    • floatrock 10 minutes ago

      Revenue transactions and taxable income are two very different topics.

      Your accountant can clarify the difference.

    • tardedmeme an hour ago

      I bet that both are fairly easy to hide, but some forms aren't. It's hard to hide when money arrives in your bank account and it's hard to hide that you own 51% of Tesla shares. You can do either one of those through a proxy however, which makes it harder to track down, not impossible (why does 51% of Tesla shareholding always agree with this guy? Why's he shilling Offshore Panama Corp LLC products so hard?)

    • nerdsniper an hour ago

      I think it varies - each are easier/harder to hide in different ways at different scales. It's the "convicting Al Capone for tax evasion" thing. They didn't need to prove where his income came from, they could just show that his wealth was clearly higher than his declared income could have possibly yielded.

  • masfuerte 38 minutes ago

    I'm very surprised that Tim Bray isn't part of the richest 0.1%.

  • AlexandrB 35 minutes ago

    The elephant in the room is why governments need more money: old age benefits like social security. I fear that taxing wealth will just be a tax on future investment while funnelling that wealth to the elderly. Already, folks are pushing to make the key asset owned by the old - housing - free from property taxes (if you're over 60, naturally)[1] which will only push housing prices up and drive more budget deficits that needs fresh tax revenue.

    I don't expect Social Security (or my country's equivalent) to exist in anything like its current form when I'm old enough to retire. This is the last hurrah and it's shocking how we're pulling out all the stops to make it happen.

    [1] https://www.sos.ca.gov/administration/news-releases-and-advi...

    • timbray 32 minutes ago

      Well, healthcare is an increasing piece of government spending all over the world, and the population is aging, so politics and policy aside, that number is going to go up.

    • Muromec 18 minutes ago

      The cure to that, unfortunately is more corruption and here America is leading proudly

    • harimau777 34 minutes ago

      Even if the government took the money and burnt it that would be a net good for society since it would lower inequality and thereby decrease power imbalances.

  • Atlas667 an hour ago

    Do you really understand class war? Your suggestion is having the state legislate this away as if the state isn't fully compromised by the capitalist class?

    This is the main lesson of the 20th century that liberals refuse to accept; that the state is controlled by capitalist class interests. Capitalist democracy is a curated racket.

    And even if we were to force legislation exactly as described above it can't and hasn't lasted long due to the incentives ($billions) to undo it. They will go as far as to kill people for this, and they have.

    Legislation does NOT fundamentally change existing power relations. They have this shit in their pockets and you're just saying that we should have them take it out of their pockets.

    The western allergy towards Marxism is one of the most detrimental cultural positions the working class has EVER faced.

    • hootz 36 minutes ago

      In the west, the prevalent idea is that socialism/communism lost and that there is nothing beyond capitalism. This is it, we will forever live in a social-democracy state. I wonder who promotes this idea.

      • AlexandrB 33 minutes ago

        > In the west, the prevalent idea is that socialism/communism lost and that there is nothing beyond capitalism.

        It didn't just "lose", it killed millions of its own people in the process. Having been born in a communist state, I'd rather clean toilets in American than do anything else in the USSR.

        Edit: It's basically impossible to communicate the day-to-day misery and deprivation of late stage Communism without sounding like a crazy person. My parents were both university-educated professionals but we lived in a tiny, one-bedroom apartment with occasional hot running water and only newspaper for wiping after the bathroom. This was considered a rather affluent existence.

        To find something similar in today's America you'd have to go to the worst, most impoverished parts of town and even then...

        • harimau777 30 minutes ago

          What about all the places where that didn't happen? E.g. the Nordic countries where social democracy has been extremely successful.

          • hootz 28 minutes ago

            But why is it successful? Where did their money come from? How sustainable is it? The core issues from capitalism still exist there, but they have more money with a smaller population.

          • AlexandrB 19 minutes ago

            I think it helps to draw some distinctions here. Nordic countries have strong social welfare systems, but private property and free enterprise are still a thing. This is not at all the same as communism where everything is ultimately state owned and operated.

            China is an interesting example too because it's basically capitalist with strong government oversight. So you can go hog wild on exploiting labor and amassing wealth as long as you don't oppose the overall goals of the government. We'll see how long they can keep it running - the problem with most authoritarian systems is that they're only as good as their current leadership, and when that changes things tend to fall apart.

        • hootz 29 minutes ago

          We are currently killing millions of our own people. Communism is not stuck in time with the USSR.

          • AlexandrB 17 minutes ago

            > We are currently killing millions of our own people.

            What do you mean?

            • salawat 10 minutes ago

              Perhaps you haven't been paying attention to the skyrocketing prices of fuel, food, and healthcare... Or did you just think all those people just above the poverty line disappear when the livable income floor gets hydraulically jacked up?

              • AnimalMuppet 3 minutes ago

                I'm aware. What I don't see are the millions of dead bodies that hootz says are currently being produced.

  • huragok an hour ago

    [flagged]

    • readthenotes1 an hour ago

      And then?

      • FabCH 38 minutes ago

        Not to condone the violence OP is calling for, but we have very recent examples of what happens when somebody does this.

        The factual answer to your question is: „for a limited time, rejections rates by health insurance companies plummets“

        • enoch_r 21 minutes ago

          This doesn't appear to be true at all. Do you have a source?

      • harimau777 44 minutes ago

        Can you elaborate?