3.4M Solar Panels

(tech.marksblogg.com)

95 points | by marklit 2 hours ago ago

43 comments

  • himata4113 19 minutes ago

    Florida and most dry / sunny states having little to no solar panels is pretty damn wild.

    I know in florida you have janky laws stopping you, but below 10kw it's still relatively easy.

    I have a friend who installed <10kw of solar panels and they're now 97% off-grid in hot, wet florida weather with an old low-seer AC, single-pane windows and poor roof insulation which is roughly 60% of the energy usage.

    The reason they got it is actually not to save money or anything, but to have power when grid goes down after hurricanes.

    • otterpro 2 minutes ago

      In Florida, the irony is that hurricane is the reason for not having too many solar panels. For example, Miami-Dade county requires commercial solar panel installation to have hurricane-approved solar mounts, which can withstand up to 160mph+ winds. This means installation is very costly. Even for homes, many insurance company will not insure homes with roof solar panel because of hurricane.

    • the_sleaze_ 4 minutes ago

      In Alabama regulatory capture is such that installing solar panels attached to the grid incurs fees higher than just buying the electricity from Alabama Power.

  • noduerme an hour ago

    What's the big deal with having a whole liquid cooled workstation, and why is it important information for me to know what this dude's hardware is? And seriously, is there something about the rig that is necessary to chew through a dataset with a few million rows?

    • everdrive a minute ago

      Liquid-cooled computers have one major benefit; usually, your computer ages over time, and there's a long period where it's still barely fast enough but you wish you had something nicer. A liquid-cooled workstation prevents you from needing to manage this grey area by catastrophically failing at unexpected intervals.

    • seanalltogether 31 minutes ago

      He just does this with all his blog posts, don't overthink it. The tech industry is full of people with unexpected quirks.

      • basilgohar 21 minutes ago

        We need more of this, not less. This is Hacker News. He gave us exactly what we need to know to exactly replicate his results.

        • hparadiz 9 minutes ago

          That's how I took it too. You always provide hardware information when publishing any data set that takes a long time to compile.

    • biesnecker 43 minutes ago

      It had a very 90s/early-2000s tech blog feel to it. Only thing missing was his custom Gentoo build.

      • cyberge99 20 minutes ago

        I found it delightful. It added character and created a sense of relatability from the outset.

    • basilgohar 18 minutes ago

      Why is the top comment criticising a geek for being a geek? He gave us a wealth of information including his exact methodology and queries on how he produced his results. This is an ideal approach. You want just results and "trust me, bro"?

    • blitzar 28 minutes ago

      > 96 GB of DDR5 RAM

      Most people drive cars worth less than this.

      • basilgohar 20 minutes ago

        He could have gotten it when it was still cheap.

    • jmyeet 35 minutes ago

      I had the exact same thought, particularly when I read there were fewer than 4M records.

      I really have to wonder if people truly know how powerful any modern computer is. Like I just assume any modern PC with sufficient storage can handle a database with a billion rows of data. I think my phone probably could.

      Now if you were, say, analyzing commercial satellite imagery of the entire US and trying to find rooftop solar, matching it against the database and finding data that wasn't in the dataset, that's something where your computer power would be way more relevant.

      Come to think of it, you could probably use such imagery to construct a power generation network from power plants to transmission lines to utility poles. Of course some places have underground cables but there are other datasets for that.

      Another interesting project is mapping the growth of solar. This would require access to commercial satellite imagery over time. I'm sure some government agency already does it. Or used to at least. Snapshots years or even months apart are less interesting.

      Anyway, I guess the point is the author's computer is capable of way more than I suspect they think it is.

  • ragebol an hour ago

    Would be kinda interesting to see a histogram of the azimuths and/or tilt angles.

    In my native Netherlands I'd guess to see that peaking at ~south at say 15-30 degrees, with some lower peaks at east/west combos.

    Curious to see what it would be in this dataset.

    • marklit 28 minutes ago

      I love that idea. I don't have time for anything elaborate today but I dropped two visualisations at the bottom of the post.

      • ragebol 11 minutes ago

        Thanks, interesting to see!

    • dhosek an hour ago

      It should be roughly correlated with latitude (the exceptions being panels on sloped roofs which will match the roof slope).

      • ragebol 12 minutes ago

        Tilt should correlate to latitude for panels with an azimuth due South.

        For panels with east/west azimuth, the tilt should correlate with where the sun is at 7-8AM and 17-18PM, at least in my area.

        ((I think you have your concept of azimuth and tilt mixed up; I know I have when I was originally typing a different parent comment)

  • zahlman 2 hours ago

    It'd be nice if it described up front what kind of information is available per panel.

    For that matter, I'd be interested in details of how "a team of researchers including alumni from NOAA, NASA and the USGS" (from the previous article) actually collected the data.

    • throwaway219450 an hour ago

      You can read the (open access) paper here:

      https://www.nature.com/articles/s41597-025-05862-4

      In the abstract: “We use these newly compiled and delineated solar arrays and panel-rows to harmonize and independently estimate value-added attributes to existing datasets including installation year, azimuth, mount technology, panel-row area and dimensions, inter-row spacing, ground cover ratio, tilt, and installed capacity.“

    • testrun an hour ago

      I would like to know more detail as well.

  • showerst an hour ago

    Pretty cool, although the heatmaps have a little of the "this is just a population density map" effect. https://xkcd.com/1138/

    It would be cool to modify them to be per-capita, although I imagine adjusting arbitrary hexes for population density would be a real challenge.

    • noduerme 43 minutes ago

      Something's wrong with xkcd's data if Portland doesn't rate a red dot on the furry porn map.

  • yogthos an hour ago

    To put this in perspective, China installs around 3x that every single day https://reneweconomy.com.au/just-staggering-china-installs-1...

  • ck2 an hour ago

    look how cheap now, it's crazy

    https://www.aliexpress.us/item/3256809986804138.html

    I'm old enough to remember Carter putting them on WhiteHouse roof and they were thousands of dollars then (and less efficient)

    • atwrk 31 minutes ago

      That's actually only cheap because of the free shipping - in Germany 450W panels are at about 55-60€ retail right now, for example. So a balcony set (2 panels for 1kW total, plus inverter) is about 150-200€, depending on the specific parts. Both exluding shipping, though.

      Prices fell dramatically in the last few years, if I understood things correctly the high prices in the US are mostly due to tariffs.

      • cyberge99 14 minutes ago

        That’s right. The current US president just reversed some of the previous administration’s Infrastructure Act which provided about 30% tax credit for installing solar.

    • saidinesh5 an hour ago

      The link isn't available here. Can you share the specs and price of that panel?

      • daemonologist an hour ago

        I'm in the US and it's showing a 100W panel for USD 37.21 (free shipping, including tariffs but not state/local taxes).

        Also the panels Carter installed were solar water heaters - in 1979 solar photovoltaics were just starting to expand beyond satellites and cost like $40/watt.

        • ck2 30 minutes ago

          it's actually $33 because there's a $4 coupon available to everyone on the page

          and if you buy 2 at a time there are multiple 10% codes available

          so it's $67 USD for 200watts

          100watt 18volt 5amp panels that can be put in series or parallel

          for $33 each, it's crazy

      • dhosek an hour ago

        100W 18V for $37 and change.

        • dhosek an hour ago

          If we can get balcony solar in the US that will be a huge game changer.

          • engineer_22 15 minutes ago

            Subtropical latitudes in continental US markets, you're looking at like $2/yr/sq ft of value for the power output.

            I'd want solar panels for like $5/sq ft installed, expecting 10 years of life.

            It's going to cost $1000 minimum to install, so the panels need to cost $2/sq ft x 300 sq ft to make this worth it. $1000 to install 300 sq ft + inverter and electrical panel upgrades seems light but might be reasonable we'll go with it.

            Larger than a balcony, but maybe in the realm of possibility for a roof.

            Right now solar panels cost what? $10 per square foot? Have they reached the physical limit of economic production/storage/transportation at $10 per sq ft or can it go lower?

            (Let's not get into battery micro-storage economics).

      • ck2 25 minutes ago

        sorry didn't think it would have geo-block

        https://images2.imgbox.com/8b/e1/R6pnQUCr_o.jpg

      • cma an hour ago

        $37.21 for a 100 watt panel with free shipping. I'm not sure if that is before or after 50% tariffs and/or the 10% "fentanyl" extra tariff that was announced a few days after Ross Ulbricht's pardon for running the world's largest opiates-by-mail operation.

        • horsawlarway 35 minutes ago

          You can buy brand new in bulk in the US for roughly the same $/watt.

          I bought 30 375w Canadian Solar panels 2 years ago and paid $0.41/watt (~$4536 for the whole package)

          My mounting equipment actually cost more than the panels (~$4600). And the permitting process cost nearly as much as the panels (permit cost + architectural drawing + structural engineer stamp + electrician stamp).

          It's crazy how cheap solar panels themselves are getting. They're going to win on the energy front - period. Especially now that battery tech actually seems to be moving again. I vividly remember one of my robotics professors in undergrad ranting about how frustrated he was with battery tech in ~2007, but LFP and sodium batteries are both pretty huge steps forward.

          • tribaal 23 minutes ago

            Another data point: my entire system in Switzerland cost me 1.3CHF/Watt including a 20kWh battery and 5000 CHF of scaffolding costs (needed because of our local OSHA equivalent laws when installing panels on a tilted roof).

            It has become ridiculously cheap indeed.

            • engineer_22 9 minutes ago

              What's the cost of power in Confoederatio Helvetica?

          • engineer_22 11 minutes ago

            How much does power and grid delivery cost in Canada to make this economical? You're into this for $15,000 what is your payback period? Are there other ameliorating criteria for success?

        • dhosek an hour ago

          Heck even if that’s pre-tariff it’s cheap enough that it could be an impulse buy.

        • ck2 29 minutes ago

          it's from a US warehouse so there are no tariffs (or they've already been paid/included)

    • DonHopkins an hour ago

      And Reagan taking them down.

      https://www.washingtonpost.com/dc-md-va/2023/03/22/jiimmy-ca...

      >It was pretty symbolic back in 1979, too. The symbolism depended on what you thought of Carter and his policies. For some, the panels were a much-needed acknowledgment that America had to wean itself from fossil fuel, explore alternative energy sources and help save the planet. For others, they were in the same category as Carter’s virtue-signaling cardigan. Of course, critics moaned, Carter would put solar panels on the White House.

      >The panels came down in 1986 when the White House roof was undergoing repairs. Ronald Reagan did not have them replaced. Of course, Reagan wouldn’t put solar panels on the White House.

      What is the story behind Reagan taking down the solar panels installed by Carter? Was it symbolic of a new, less enthusiastic approach to clean energy?

      https://www.reddit.com/r/AskHistorians/comments/g4w4ww/what_...

      Solar power at the White House

      https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Solar_power_at_the_White_House

      >On June 20, 1979, 32 solar water heating panels were placed on the roof of the West Wing. The panels were made by InterTechnology/Solar Corp. from Warrenton, Virginia and installed by Hector Guevara of Alternate Energy Industries Corp.[2] At the dedication ceremony for the panels, President Carter said, "In the year 2000 this solar water heater behind me, which is being dedicated today, will still be here supplying cheap, efficient energy... A generation from now, this solar heater can either be a curiosity, a museum piece, an example of a road not taken or it can be just a small part of one of the greatest and most exciting adventures ever undertaken by the American people".[1]

      The whole installation cost $35,000 in 1979 (about $160,000 now).

      https://books.google.nl/books?id=e9dlzwL4Ck4C&dq=solar+white...