Stripe valued at $159B, 2025 annual letter

(stripe.com)

109 points | by jez 3 hours ago ago

97 comments

  • purple_ferret 6 minutes ago

    Braintree had $1.53 trillion TPV in 2023[0], and it's just a subsidiary of Paypal which has tanked to $40 billion market cap despite revenue and profit that are probably lightyears ahead of Stripe.

    Honestly, I wouldn't touch Stripe with a ten foot poll. Fintech is an industry that just disappoints in the end.

    [0]https://www.paypal.com/us/braintree

  • hmokiguess 11 minutes ago

    I remember when Stripe started and it was super fun to set it up as a developer and build stuff.

    Today I find it does way too much for small projects and the fees are too high. Does anyone knows of good alternatives for that? (Someone recently shared https://astrafi.com/ with me and it seemed promising, with much better fees, but I haven't tested or used anything other than Stripe)

  • aliljet an hour ago

    The public can absolutely participate in this by way of syndication deals. Those syndicates are what's covering up the true extent of ownership and they're essentially charging for access with their fees. It's oddly shady, poorly regulated, and more expensive than just being public, but everyone can ride this ride.

  • fourseventy 2 hours ago

    It's insane that they aren't public yet. Their investors must be pressuring them like crazy to IPO.

    • jameskilton an hour ago

      Stripe has been doing annual tender offers. Their stance on not being public yet is that they don't need to be, as an IPO is mainly a way to raise money.

      As an ex-Stripe, I understand the sentiment, and the tender offers are a nice middle ground for now, but I still would like to see them go public eventually.

      • tyre an hour ago

        I hope they never go public (also as an ex-Stripe!)

        I can't really see a net-positive benefit to having public shareholders and reporting requirements. Do we think Stripe's leadership needs feedback from random investment advisors or analysts? Do employees need the distraction of daily-updating stock prices? Would quarterly reporting incentivize better decision making?

        In my opinion: ehhhhhhhhhhhh

        I see the benefit, but if you're joining Stripe you know the trade-off of RSUs in a company that doesn't provide daily liquidity. They provide it on a regular basis, so you're not locked in forever (a la my 2014 Gusto shares).

        • bryanlarsen an hour ago

          I'm sure they already have more than the 500 non-accredited or 2000 accredited shareholder total that would trigger most of those reporting requirements anyways. So Stripe already has most of the drawbacks of being a public company without the benefits.

          • kasey_junk 43 minutes ago

            The reporting isn’t the drawbacks of being public, it’s the investors.

            They get to _choose_ who they let in if they are private (by definition).

            They don’t need the public’s money and don’t want the headache of dealing with the public. I’d completely agree if I were them.

            Disclaimer: ex-stripe who is still an investor.

            • bryanlarsen 29 minutes ago

              The vast majority of public shareholders don't vote their shares. A VC is much more likely to apply unwanted pressure to the board/management than the general public is.

              IMO, the best reason to avoid an IPO is to stay out of the media.

        • coffeemug 11 minutes ago

          Also ex-Stripe. This suggests an opportunity to build an exchange that addresses these problems. Could one build an exchange with deliberate "turn-based" liquidity to avoid the problem of daily stock price distraction, for example? (This is hard because there will always be secondary markets, but presumably this is already the case.)

        • fnordpiglet 13 minutes ago

          The latest self funded tenders have been pretty tiny. I wouldn’t term it as “liquidity” as much as a symbolic gesture.

          • tyre 6 minutes ago

            AFAIK none of the recent tenders have been self-funded. They’ve matched external investors who want shares with employees.

            Also, not sure what you mean by "tiny". It's been billions of dollars.

        • malfist an hour ago

          Do very many companies provide daily liquidity? Most of my time getting RSUs have had trading windows, once a quarter if you're lucky.

          • toast0 34 minutes ago

            When I was an employee of a subsidiary of Infospace, my RSUs were always worthless (honestly, I don't remember if any vested while I was there), at Yahoo, we could generally trade, although one shouldn't trade immediately after earnings, but I don't remember if this was enforced at the affiliated brokerage. At Facebook, I think it was typically a three week window every quarter.

            Of course, if you quit, the windows are no longer in force, although if you have material non-public information, you're still not allowed to trade. Maybe there'a a share price where you'd rather quit and sell than hold on until the window opens.

      • maratc an hour ago

        Above certain amount of shareholders, the rules for the public companies start applying, so you get all of the disadvantages of being a public company (like SEC filings, etc.) without the advantages (like ability to raise money.) IIRC this is what forced $MSFT to do IPO in 1986.

      • coldpie an hour ago

        Going public is the fastest way to turn a solid, functioning business into a hideous, infinite-growth chasing ghoul that everyone hates. Don't do it.

        • bryanlarsen 40 minutes ago

          Instead they are mostly owned by VC's, who will more directly pressure them to do that than the general public owners will.

          The important part is that the Collison's control Stripe now. When that changes things may go down hill. It won't matter if it is public or not.

      • giancarlostoro 25 minutes ago

        I'm glad. I don't think every company needs to be on the stock market, and companies that are profitable like Stripe is, absolutely do not need to be on the stock market. Why? So people can buy and sell their stock on a whim?

      • johnny_canuck 27 minutes ago

        Are there caps on how much you could sell during the tender offer? I had one come through my email ~3 years ago for a company I previously worked for. IIRC it allowed you to sell up to 10% of your stock.

      • armadyl an hour ago

        > As an ex-Stripe, I understand the sentiment, and the tender offers are a nice middle ground for now, but I still would like to see them go public eventually.

        This is an incredibly odd sentiment, imo. What’s the desire to see them go public unless you personally are profiting from it? Going public would quickly set Stripe on a pathway to potential enshittification and at minimum starting to squeeze the consumers and businesses it provides services to more.

        • paxys an hour ago

          If they are ex-Stripe they are likely holding shares, and so yes they would personally profit from going public.

          • jez an hour ago

            The tender offer announced in the article is open to former employees as well, so they personally profit regardless of Stripe being public (unless the claim is that by being public the valuation would be materially higher than the stated valuation for this offer).

        • shevy-java an hour ago

          There may be a conflict of interest with ex-Stripe folks wanting to see a move towards x or y.

      • adventured an hour ago

        An IPO today is mainly a way for major investors - those that want out - to liquidate out in a big way by dumping to a very large mass of investors. There is no other means to do that without signaling a gigantic loss of confidence.

        Raising money as a private entity is trivial these days if you're in the league that Stripe is. See: the comical AI private funding levels.

        • hypeatei an hour ago

          > An IPO today is mainly a way for major investors

          Major investors and insiders. Stay the hell away from IPOs if you're not an institution getting access to shares at a reasonable price.

    • cmiles8 14 minutes ago

      The markets are skeptical at the moment. A bunch of tech IPOs in the last few years have tanked 70+% since the IPO and that can be devastating to a company.

      Also there’s a ton of overhead associated with being public that nobody really wants to do so companies now stay private as long as they can get away with.

    • pewpewp 4 minutes ago

      How do you ruin a good company? Simple. Go public

    • rf15 2 hours ago

      Why ask for IPO to dillute the effective investor pool if you are already making a ton of money consistently?

      • fourseventy an hour ago

        To give liquidity to investors.

        • onion2k an hour ago

          The cost of that liquidity is missing out on realizing future growth though. It's fairly safe to assume that as there isn't an IPO yet the investors want to hold rather than cash in returns. They probably believe there's more growth potential, and that the board are the right people to deliver it.

          • 303space an hour ago

            If you bought Stripe at a 95b valuation in 2021 your returns are barely keeping up with the SP500 after this latest round. Not exactly an elite capital growth machine.

            • j45 44 minutes ago

              Perhaps infrastructure has a different kind of long term upside.

          • skybrian an hour ago

            Even for good investments, investors will want to sell at some point rather than owning an investment forever, if only to diversify.

            • onion2k an hour ago

              Sure, at some point. Maybe that isn't now though.

          • KK7NIL an hour ago

            > The cost of that liquidity is missing out on realizing future growth though.

            Why would it be? I don't believe an IPO has to be dilutive, it can be done with already issued shares. I grant you that's not usually how they're done though.

          • j45 an hour ago

            Maybe certain types of growth aren't the goal for Stripe at present.

        • Cyph0n an hour ago

          Don’t they already get to participate in secondary markets to liquidate?

          • KK7NIL an hour ago

            They can, but it's orders of magnitudes less liquid than the public stock market.

            Liquidity!= ability to liquidate or not, BTW, it's more of a continuous spectrum.

    • baxtr an hour ago

      It’s sad.

      Public companies allow the rest of us to participate in a success story like this.

      Until IPO it’s only a selected group of affluent people who have access to these private companies.

      • cwbrandsma an hour ago

        IPOs also kill a lot of companies. Now you have a new list of investors you are obligated to attend to, and what those investors what is not always to make your company more successful, if it can make more money now.

        • bryanlarsen 33 minutes ago

          The reverse is much more true. When private equity takes a public company private, there's a 50% chance they'll kill the company.

          Also, private companies fail at a much higher rate than public ones do.

        • kibwen an hour ago

          Not just the IPO. Being public at all subjects you to the perverse and destructive incentive of needing to maximize shareholder value. Just because some private companies take VC funding (and subject themselves to analogous forces) doesn't mean that's required or expected.

          • gmd63 an hour ago

            Needing to maximize shareholder value is a myth. There is no law that requires you to do that - people like to use the idea as an excuse to do scummy business.

            • malfist an hour ago

              Sure, it's a dubious legal requirement at best. But you try telling people that on an earnings call and watch your valuation plummet because you took a long position and the market wanted a next quarter position. And even if you don't care about selling your stock personally, it does impact your ability to raise funds.

              • elictronic 20 minutes ago

                Short term investors don’t matter. They are going to pull out and move to the next thing.

            • arcticbull an hour ago

              Depends. In Michigan it is binding precedent, see Dodge v. Ford (1919).

              Delaware corporations must act in the interests of shareholders.

              • rurp 9 minutes ago

                That's an incredibly vague standard and courts have repeatedly declined to get involved in second guessing management decisions. Aside from outright fraud or negligence executives can claim almost any business related decision is in the interest of shareholders because they have a reasonable expectation that the future benefits outweigh the costs. Judges aren't going to be delving into financial projections and expense reports to override the leaders of a business.

                A widget company could sponsor a soccer team or whatever and say the costs are worth it. Or that same company could not do that and say it's not worth it. Two opposite decisions that both would count as acting in the interest of shareholders.

              • elictronic 13 minutes ago

                This case was specifically about dividends and long term shareholder value, not quarterly results.

        • baxtr 33 minutes ago

          So keep the profits only for the rich then? I rather see more IPOs for the rest of us.

      • RobRivera an hour ago

        High risk high reward - I think if I ponied up capital, I'd rather not feel obliged to 'share the success' unless it were part of a needed capital raising.

      • j45 43 minutes ago

        Private companies have the right to be private until if or when they decide not to be private.

        Navigating the risk and growth allows them to navigate their growth and rewards while maybe in the drivers seat a bit more.

        • baxtr 31 minutes ago

          No one said they don’t have the right.

          But for the good of all of society, it would be better if they did.

      • WarcrimeActual an hour ago

        I see it differently, and not in a particularly popular manner. Public companies allow those that are already pretty well off to rocket past those who can't afford shares, therefore adding to the disparity. I despise sudden or inherited wealth though so I'm not the best barometer for how things should work when it comes to this. I can't count how many times I've been made almost physically ill hearing about the next meme stock that made some nobody a millionaire overnight.

      • thinkingtoilet an hour ago

        IPOs really only benefit already wealthy people as well. It's not like poor people can dump tens or hundreds of thousands of dollars in stock.

        • derektank 38 minutes ago

          Working class people have 401ks and pension plans

      • paxys an hour ago

        We usually hear about the success stories, but public markets have killed wayyyy more companies than they have helped. Unless they really need the money it's always in a company's own best interests to stay private for as long as possible.

    • mercwear 2 hours ago

      I hope they hold off - going public tends to kill innovation and replace it with bureaucracy

      • anovikov an hour ago

        Almost as if there's a lot to innovate in a "dumb pipe" a payment processor naturally is.

        • jacquesm an hour ago

          At scale, payment processors are amongst the most difficult things you could do because every two bit crook out there is going to try to scam you somehow.

        • dewey an hour ago

          Can probably build it in a weekend.

          • malfist an hour ago

            You let me know when VISA lets you colocate into their rack for processing payments with your built in a weekend vibe coded project.

            • dewey an hour ago

              I guess I should've added "/s" :P

            • pestaa 44 minutes ago

              dewey was joking.

              • elictronic 12 minutes ago

                Management reading a thread like this need the /s.

        • zer00eyz an hour ago

          The thing is they have "tooling" to help create their own customers:

          https://stripe.com/atlas

          They also have a tax product, and a few other things that are in the orbit around payment processing.

          Their product offerings are a bit more than just the "dumb pipe" portion of the transaction.

    • jameson an hour ago

      Everything's public appearance until S1 is filed

    • mattas an hour ago

      I wonder if there will be a class of VC that intends to provide LPs with income in addition to capital appreciation. If it doesn't make sense to go public, then focus on cash flow and kick of steady income to investors.

    • paxys an hour ago

      Investors can pressure you when you are worth single digit or low double digit billions. At $100B+ you are calling the shots, and if investors aren't happy they can sell their shares in the next tender offer.

    • ndr 2 hours ago

      Will they ever have to go public? I imagine there's a way they can buy everything back.

    • gamblor956 an hour ago

      Companies that keep delaying going public generally do so to keep hidden unfavorable data.

      Private companies can say whatever they want about their performance as long as they don't lie to their own investors; public companies can't.

      • darth_avocado an hour ago

        You don’t have to go public at all. If you’re profitable and your investors don’t want an exit, then you can stay private in perpetuity. Epic is a great example of that.

    • stefan_ an hour ago

      Might be too late already, seeing how we are well past "peak SaaS" (and frankly Stripe have slowed down and lost a lot of the glitter in years past).

  • throwaw12 an hour ago

    Congratulations.

    But how is it 5x bigger than Adyen, which had 2.3B revenue and 1B earnings in 2025?

    • fastball an hour ago

      It is not 5x bigger, it is 5x more valuable. Obviously Stripes 2x higher revenue is part of that equation, but not all of it.

      • sej1 an hour ago

        Also Adyen's processing volume grew just 8% (to $1.6T usd) in 2025, while Stripe's grew 34% (to $1.9T usd).

        Stripe's bigger _and_ growing faster.

      • throwaw12 5 minutes ago

        yeah, my bad, wanted to say more valuable

    • malfist an hour ago

      According to wikipedia, Stripe had a revenue of 5.1B in 2024.

  • rprend 37 minutes ago

    1.6 percent of global GDP blows my mind.

    • throwaw12 2 minutes ago

      > Businesses running on Stripe generated $1.9 trillion in total volume

      I feel like numbers are inflated little bit here.

      Uber runs on Stripe, but not completely, are they associating Uber's whole gross bookings to this statistic?

      Most companies don't run solely on Stripe

  • shevy-java an hour ago

    > Businesses running on Stripe generated $1.9 trillion in total volume

    I think we hackers in general also need to have a value assigned. Even open source authors generate real value but right now I see an imbalance as to who makes money and who does not. I'd even almost go as far as say that taxes (a state gathers) should go to a certain percentage value back to the open source community. There are a lot of details missing here, of course, but from a core view this only seems fair.

    I'l also never forget Bill Gates anti-open source letter. That should instantly yield a 99.999% extra tax on him.

    • atonse an hour ago

      If a maintainer has chosen to open source and use a permissive license (key word chosen, this isn't a default), they are explicitly saying via their license that they are not charging for the use of the code. What's the issue here?

      If a maintainer wants to make money directly from their code, they are free to charge for it, or for services around it (examples: Sidekiq, Oban, Tailwind, not to mention large examples like RedHat or Ubuntu).

      Everyone involved is making informed choices.

    • ericmay an hour ago

      Well when you're giving away your product for free... maybe open-source maintainers who want payment for their "free" products should consider going to business school?

      I'm in favor of funding the arts, for example, but I'm not sure open-source is something we should tax/fund for. There is real business value in the projects that are created, but open-source maintainers insist on "giving them away for free". Start charging and then we don't need to fund/tax.

      • gmd63 11 minutes ago

        We have a bunch of socially minded people providing free value in the form of open source that enjoy the gift they are giving to others. When they become aware that their charity disproportionately benefits selfish people who have opposite inclinations - who employ people to search for exploits, without fixing them, to suck up as much wealth as possible - I'm not surprised they would want to take a step back and ask for a share of that.

        And that's totally fine under the same market mechanics you're recommending. If you want maintainers to stop complaining and filing potential petitions asking for funding via taxes etc, just pay them.

  • miohtama 25 minutes ago

    Weak. They should pivot to AI.

  • colesantiago an hour ago

    Private markets is where the wealth is (if you invested at the bottom), as soon as Stripe goes public you're getting dumped on.

    Unfortunately you need to be an accredited investor to access these markets.

    This is the real gatekeeping here as rich pop stars, actors, sports stars and musicians who aren't versed in tech has more access to investing in these private companies than the academics, students in europe creating the algorithms that power them.

    An 11 year old can inherit $100 million and be more "accredited" than you, even though they (may) have no knowledge of the industry, no investing experience and no years of industry experience.

    Even if you have knowledge in the tech scene and you know which companies are going to go big in the future, unless you're ultra rich already to qualify as accredited, you're shut out early on.

    • jonas21 an hour ago

      If you don't meet the financial requirement ($200K annual income or $1M net worth), you can also qualify as an accredited investor by passing the Series 65 exam and filing a form with the SEC.

      So you prove that either you can afford to lose some money or you have enough investing knowledge to know what you're getting into. Seems fair.

      • colesantiago 42 minutes ago

        So someone who inherits $100 million (11 year old or not) doesn't have take the exam, but someone who knows about the industry inside out has take an exam to participate?

        Seems "fair" to be honest.

        I have a few friends that that have told me about certain companies they would like to invest in and they are knowledgeable about but they cannot access them but I can and not give them any shares.

        • tptacek 4 minutes ago

          We don't care if people with $100MM make a bad bet on a tech company.

    • triceratops an hour ago

      Something like 20% of American households meet the accredited standard. It isn't some ultra-elite bar.

      Stripe being able to find all the capital they need in private markets is the actual indicator of wealth disparity.

      • tptacek an hour ago

        Not to mention: Stripe doesn't want your money, whether or not you're accredited.

        • colesantiago 38 minutes ago

          "Private markets is where the wealth is (if you invested at the bottom)"

          Stripe might not need your money now, but they certainly needed it at the pre-seed, seed stage where if you were an angel/seed investor you would have been able to participate.

          • tptacek 11 minutes ago

            No they didn't. They were picky at the seed stage. They were picky in their first priced round. They were picky in every subsequent round. There was never a point where they wanted your money. The most promising companies fight off investors when word gets around they're raising.

            There is never a point in the lifecycle of any of these companies where they wanted random retail investors with no network on their cap tables. The kinds of companies that do want those investors tend, for clear reasons, not to be the kind you want to invest in.

            You don't want accreditation rules relaxed or eliminated. You simply want Stripe to be a public company instead of a private one. Fair enough, but Stripe doesn't want to be a public company.

    • paxys an hour ago

      You need an annual income of $200K to become an accredited investor. If you don't have that, you anyways shouldn't be participating in risky private markets.

      If anything they should also restrict options trading, sports gambling, prediction markets etc. to accredited investors.

      • colesantiago 37 minutes ago

        Why don't we extend this to the risky public manipulated stock market?

        • tptacek 6 minutes ago

          Because the odds of you losing all your money on private tech company shares are nearly 100%, and the odds of you losing all your money in SPDR or VFINX are nearly 0%.

        • paxys 13 minutes ago

          Because that is what the SEC was created for, and (in theory) it is their job to protect regular invesors from market risks. Now how effectively that works is a different conversation, but at the very least you have reporting requirements, earnings releases, material disclosures, insider trading laws, SIPC insurance, circuit breakers etc. A regular joe trying to invest in a "private opportunity" meanwhile is absolutely going to be taken for a ride.