“For the sixth time since October 7, 2023, we asked respondents from the West Bank and the Gaza Strip what they thought of Hamas' decision to launch the October 7 attack, whether it was correct or incorrect: 53% compared to 50%, in May 2025, and 54% in September 2024, and 67% in June 2024, and 71% in March 2024, said it was the right decision. The increase in this poll came from the Gaza Strip, where it stands today at 44%, an increase of 7 percentage points, and 59% in the West Bank, compared to an identical percentage in May 2025.”
…wow. I never thought the Israeli claims that Gaza would go right back to terrorism if given the chance held water, yet there it is.
Perhaps I'm paranoiac, but in that situation I would assume that the poll is run by a cover Hamas member and they will be very unhappy if I give the wrong answer. (Or my answer may be leaked later, or something.) That's way it's important to ensure votes are secret.
Even assuming they are reputable, they may be hacked and the poll data leaked.
(Also, I don't assume that even if no one has fear the support will not drop to zero. In all conflicts many people always support the local team, even when the local team do nasty things.)
and i think numbers that you quote are also indicative of Israeli claim that recognizing Palestinian state will reaffirm that approach that hamas took is correct in eyes of palestinians
> recognizing Palestinian state will reaffirm that approach that hamas took is correct in eyes of palestinians
The only reason this is relevant, beyond baseless moral outrage, is from a threat of terrorist contagion. Given the cost of the Gaza war to Palestinians, I’m not seeing too many other groups being that stupid.
What matters is what happens in the future. If an independent Gaza just reärms and attacks Israel again, that’s not a good way to organise that area. I’m still unconvinced there isn’t a polling error in this measure, because more than half of Gaza’s essentially endorsing what has happened to them seems a little bit off to me.
The results are not surprising but I bet readers would be even more surprised by polls in other countries. In Saudi Arabia, some polls show over 90% supported Oct 7 and deny that it involved murder or rape. Other Islamic nations have similar results. This poll from Gaza and West Bank is surprisingly mild by comparison.
Palestinian opinion is polarized: the Trump Plan is widely known but support is split, with Gazans more favorable than West Bankers. Majorities back Hamas’s response yet reject disarming Hamas; most doubt the plan will end the war or deliver statehood. A leadership crisis endures—dissatisfaction with Abbas and the PA, Marwan Barghouti leading, and Hamas outpolling Fatah. Since Oct 7, support for the attack persists even as expectations of Hamas victory wane. Gazans are more open to negotiated arrangements;` West Bankers favor armed struggle. Across both, skepticism of external plans coexists with demands for elections and self-defense.
“For the sixth time since October 7, 2023, we asked respondents from the West Bank and the Gaza Strip what they thought of Hamas' decision to launch the October 7 attack, whether it was correct or incorrect: 53% compared to 50%, in May 2025, and 54% in September 2024, and 67% in June 2024, and 71% in March 2024, said it was the right decision. The increase in this poll came from the Gaza Strip, where it stands today at 44%, an increase of 7 percentage points, and 59% in the West Bank, compared to an identical percentage in May 2025.”
…wow. I never thought the Israeli claims that Gaza would go right back to terrorism if given the chance held water, yet there it is.
Is this a reliable pollster?
Perhaps I'm paranoiac, but in that situation I would assume that the poll is run by a cover Hamas member and they will be very unhappy if I give the wrong answer. (Or my answer may be leaked later, or something.) That's way it's important to ensure votes are secret.
underground network of hamas agents that perform polls since 1993 in west bank ?
Plenty of formerly-reputable institutions corrupt. I’m still looking for evidence this is representative.
Even assuming they are reputable, they may be hacked and the poll data leaked.
(Also, I don't assume that even if no one has fear the support will not drop to zero. In all conflicts many people always support the local team, even when the local team do nasty things.)
they exist for 30 years or so https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Palestinian_Center_for_Policy_...
and i think numbers that you quote are also indicative of Israeli claim that recognizing Palestinian state will reaffirm that approach that hamas took is correct in eyes of palestinians
> recognizing Palestinian state will reaffirm that approach that hamas took is correct in eyes of palestinians
The only reason this is relevant, beyond baseless moral outrage, is from a threat of terrorist contagion. Given the cost of the Gaza war to Palestinians, I’m not seeing too many other groups being that stupid.
What matters is what happens in the future. If an independent Gaza just reärms and attacks Israel again, that’s not a good way to organise that area. I’m still unconvinced there isn’t a polling error in this measure, because more than half of Gaza’s essentially endorsing what has happened to them seems a little bit off to me.
i might have sent this link to you before, but this is how are things there: https://xcancel.com/thehonestlypod/status/197304563042865597...
Your link produces a list of "this tweet is unavailable" content.
Are you referencing an authority? Another poll?
strange. link works for me. try this one https://x.com/thehonestlypod/status/1973045630428655972
it's not a poll. it's more like a window into local mentality that may help you to understand the numbers
To quote Abba Eban, they “never miss an opportunity to miss an opportunity”.
The results are not surprising but I bet readers would be even more surprised by polls in other countries. In Saudi Arabia, some polls show over 90% supported Oct 7 and deny that it involved murder or rape. Other Islamic nations have similar results. This poll from Gaza and West Bank is surprisingly mild by comparison.
From poll summary:
Palestinian opinion is polarized: the Trump Plan is widely known but support is split, with Gazans more favorable than West Bankers. Majorities back Hamas’s response yet reject disarming Hamas; most doubt the plan will end the war or deliver statehood. A leadership crisis endures—dissatisfaction with Abbas and the PA, Marwan Barghouti leading, and Hamas outpolling Fatah. Since Oct 7, support for the attack persists even as expectations of Hamas victory wane. Gazans are more open to negotiated arrangements;` West Bankers favor armed struggle. Across both, skepticism of external plans coexists with demands for elections and self-defense.