Open Source is one person

(opensourcesecurity.io)

321 points | by LawnGnome 19 hours ago ago

131 comments

  • kube-system 8 hours ago

    I feel like there's a lot of misunderstanding of this issue in the software community, because primarily, supply chain risk isn't a software or engineering issue. It's a governance issue.

    Someone doesn't have to be a bad actor for a project to have supply chain risk. Nor do all who evaluate supply chain risk have the same security posture and evaluate risks the same as others might. The DoD likely has a very different set of risks they evaluate against for their security posture than you do.

    Most supply chain risks are not an indictment of somebody's code or somebody's character. A lot of one person projects are risky just because they're only one person. Having a bus factor of one is a supply chain risk in and of itself.

    And while most people don't prepare for war while choosing their packages, it's not unreasonable for a military to do so. During a war, the ability for people to govern themselves and their own projects often changes dramatically, even in democratic countries. It is entirely routine for countries to require cooperation by the force of law in war time, even the US can and has forced private companies to cooperate with war efforts. This is probably not in the security posture calculation for most of us. But it is for some.

    • const_cast 2 hours ago

      Guys say it with me: vendor your packages! VENDER YOUR PACKAGES!

    • ozim 4 hours ago

      Yet still hype leads people to believe in single proprietor billion dollar software companies are just around the corner.

    • conartist6 6 hours ago

      Huh? The DoD would not have used the package if they hadn't read every line, locked it down for updates, and were ready to patch it themselves if needed. Can you really imagine in a war they'd be like "damn, if only there were a second person we also don't trust at all to do this work for us cause otherwise we'd just be SOL"

      • jandrewrogers 5 hours ago

        It mostly doesn't work like that even for closed source in DoD. They have to weigh the risk against the very high cost of mitigating the risk. Their resources are large but not infinite.

        Even if they trust the developer they may not trust their process. There are many cases of trusted developers having their development environments compromised such that bad actors were able to insert modifications into source trees, in commits signed by the developer. Most code is not developed in anything remotely resembling a high security context.

      • seangrogg 3 hours ago

        Damn, what country is this in? Maybe the US could learn a thing or two from this level of attention to detail.

        • conartist6 an hour ago

          I'm only really describing the due diligence I do to keep people safe who might rely on my OSS work. I didn't realize I was so far ahead of the defense industry...

      • kazinator 2 hours ago

        > DoD would not have used the package if ...

        That's a lot of faith in military intelligence.

        • worik an hour ago

          > military intelligence.

          ...is an oxymoron

      • moron4hire 5 hours ago

        I don't know where you're working, maybe you work in some secret lab where everything is air-gapped and not even the pigeons are allowed within a mile of the facility. In which case, what the hell are you doing commenting on a public message board?

        That is absolutely not how DoD works. The vast majority of code is contracted out. Nobody from DoD side is reading any of the code. It's all a series of affidavits and audits for configuration management process. Vendors assert everything's cool. Failed audits lead to fines or revocation of access. And the audits check up on documentation and config. They don't dig into code.

        At no point in time is anyone, anywhere, in this process reading every single line of code. Not even A single line of code. I doubt they even read the Software Bill of Materials we're supposed to generate, because I've never heard any feedback on any of it.

        • conartist6 5 hours ago

          Doesn't change the fact that they can just fork it if it ever matters though...

          • munificent 4 hours ago

            By the time you know it matters, it's too late. And if it's not too late, you don't have enough data to know which of the thousands of packages you depend on should be forked and which shouldn't.

          • nradov 24 minutes ago

            Just forking the code doesn't get you very far. Few of those products have what we would call reproducible builds so good luck trying to create a working release image if you don't have access to the contractor's infrastructure and tooling.

          • kube-system 5 hours ago

            You're missing the point of a supply chain risk assessment. Yes, you can fork a project to maintain it yourself. But, for an organization to do this, they need to allocate resources, e.g. time and money. This is part of the risk you are assessing for in a supply chain risk assessment.

            • conartist6 4 hours ago

              The risk quintuples with no lock files. And the number of maintainers is often not as important as the number of other users who are also putting eyes on the code

  • aniviacat 10 hours ago

    > So while NPM has over 4 million single person projects, they have about 900,000 maintainers for those 4 million single person projects. This will be an important data point at the end.

    Am I missing something or was it not, in fact, an important data point at the end?

  • didgetmaster 7 hours ago

    Has anyone seen any stats on what happens to a single maintainer project when said person is hit by a bus (or meets some other demise)? With that many data points, there should be enough of them by now to study it.

    Is the project taken over by another, single developer? Is it replaced by a similar project? Does it just go away?

    • thayne 2 hours ago

      It depends. More common than getting hit by a bus is that the maintainer loses interest, or doesn't have the time to put into it anymore. When that happens I've seen all of the following happen:

      * Someone forks the project, and eventually the fork replaces the original

      * Another, possibly new, project that fills the same niche becomes more popular, and eventually replaces most usages of the first project.

      * The original maintainer hands off maintenance to someone else.

      * People keep using it, even though it is no longer maintained, and maybe make their own forks to fix issues they have, but none of the forks really catch on

      One of the strengths of OSS is that if the developer disappears, or goes rogue, or changes the license terms, someone can fork the project and keep it going. With proprietary software, if the company (or individual) who makes it disappears, or decides to discontinue it, or change the terms to something unacceptable, you are just out of luck. Hopefully, you can find a competing product that meets your needs.

      • worik an hour ago

        This is theory

    • gausswho 7 hours ago

      I would love to see a diligently researched episodic series, every episode covering the transition of a popular open-source library/tool/app/site from one maintainer to the next.

      And that's why I don't run Netflix.

      • ebiester 6 hours ago

        I think this is in the realm of a YouTube series. I mean, what's stopping you from doing it?

        • gausswho 3 minutes ago

          Any maintainer pairs want to reach out? I'll give it a shot.

        • idiotsecant 3 hours ago

          Other than it being a lot of work?

      • saadatq 4 hours ago

        You should pitch this to David Gelb / whoever is responsible for Chef’s Table on Netflix

      • IAmBroom 6 hours ago

        No, but I would happily pirate that.

    • kube-system 3 hours ago

      I don't know about any broader statistics, but in my personal experience, I see all three of those. I think it's mostly a function of how large the user base is, how complicated the code base is, and whether or not there are any substitutes.

    • popalchemist an hour ago

      If it's open-source, and the original breaks for any reason, it's typically forked and continues life. See: Redis (recently).

    • ashleyn 6 hours ago

      Closest example I could think of would be Hans Reiser/Reiserfs. It's a more sordid story than just getting hit by a bus, though. Ultimately the project just died.

      • account42 5 hours ago

        I don't think this is a good example though as the "sordid" part also made the project toxic for anything that might have otherwise chosen to take it on.

    • rglover 5 hours ago

      I think this is one thing that people fail to consider: if the code is open source, though it may take time to understand, worst case scenario you can just fork it.

    • nickjj 5 hours ago

      Here is one data point.

      I bought ASIO Link Pro (software) something like 10 years ago to help route virtual audio devices on my system. The author sadly died and eventually the license key server went offline rendering it unable to start. His nephew looked into it and eventually made the tool free after a year or 2.

      I stopped using it after the license server went offline because I still had to record videos. I ended up solving my problem with hardware, but that tool was extremely helpful when I used it for years. It was around $40 at the time. It's one of the few pieces of software I've purchased and felt really happy about it.

      • codazoda 4 hours ago

        I suspect this is the case for the majority of open source software. I have a handful of tiny projects. I don't think anyone will keep them alive after I die. But I guess we should make a distinction based on popularity or something. My top four projects have only 675, 363, 122, and 96 stars.

      • oblongdefeat 4 hours ago

        Not sure if you know or not, or if it matters anymore, but someone eventually made a fix for this.

        https://github.com/DirkoAudio/ASIOLinkProFIX

        I've been using it for over a year on Windows 10 and it works great.

    • jampa 5 hours ago

      Unless something changes in the underlying infrastructure, most packages don't need active maintenance after achieving their objective.

      If there is a major change (e.g., Python 3, React Native new arch), they are replaced/forked.

    • kqr 3 hours ago

      The ones that come to mind are

      - Hans Reiser, maintainer of ReiserFS. I think very few people use ReiserFS these days.

      - Ian Murdock, creator of the Debian distribution. Debian lives on, but the project was also set up specifically to distribute maintenance.

      - Jim Weirich, creator of the Rake build tool. I'm not a Rubyist so I don't know how it was affected, but I assume it's such a big part of Ruby other people took over.

      - Peter Hintjens, co-creator of ZeroMQ. From what I understand, Hintjens was never the main developer but an active promoter. The project lives on as far as I know.

      - Terry Davis, creator of TempleOS. I think development on TempleOS stopped.

      • drob518 3 hours ago

        IMO, it has a lot to do with usage and the availability of alternatives. With ReiserFS, there were a lot of alternatives, both available at the time or announced shortly. While ReiserFS pioneered a lot of ideas, many of them showed up in alternatives fairly quickly. TempleOS is had a pretty limited user base.

        I’ve seen many projects in the Clojure ecosystem get picked up and maintained by other folks. The key was always that the projects had an established user base of some notable size and something distinctive about them that made switching to other alternatives less desirable than continuing to push forward with a new and possibly more mundane maintainer and feature schedule. I’ve also seen a lot of “abandonware.”

        So, it’s a bit of a mixed bag.

  • gsliepen 9 hours ago

    And even in projects that are maintained by more than one person, it's usually just a single person responsible for most of the commits.

  • blueflow 11 hours ago

    If they had done an activity check they would have seen that half of all projects have zero maintainers.

    • ysofunny 8 hours ago

      software once "perfected" (working well enough long enough) needs NO maintenance. No cleaning. No calibrating/tunning.

      updating is a systemic issue, not a per-project matter

      • chamomeal 5 hours ago

        Definitely varies with language/runtime/library choice. I have no problem using a clojure library that hasn’t been touched in 5 years. But back when I had a gatsby site (static site generator for react) I would end up in the dependency hell after literally a month of not touching it

      • kube-system 8 hours ago

        Under a microscope, maybe.

        But if you had a "perfect" piece of software that used Log4j in 2020, it wouldn't have been perfect for long.

        Unfortunately, there's a lot of reasons that software needs maintenance, even if it was thought to be perfect when it was originally written.

        Hardware changes. The software landscape changes. Dependencies are deprecated, or are found to have their own problems. Vulnerabilities are discovered. Vulnerabilities are found that aren't even the fault of your software, maybe they are a flaw in the hardware your software runs on, and the only way to fix it is via a software mitigation. These are all real things that happen to otherwise perfect software.

        • ridifndnwj 8 hours ago

          Ironically if you didn’t upgrade from 1.x you didn’t get the new features or the bug you’re referring to

          • kube-system 8 hours ago

            2.x had been out for about six years by the time the vulnerability was discovered.

        • socksy 4 hours ago

          Plenty of Clojure projects are "done" (the only community I'm aware of that actually believes in this) that presumably specified the vulnerable log4j versions. In reality, it's not an issue, because you can deal with it in your own deps.edn/project.clj/maven.xml, by excluding the dependency, or overriding it with a newer one.

          • kube-system 3 hours ago

            > In reality, it's not an issue, because you can deal with it in your own deps.edn/project.clj/maven.xml, by excluding the dependency, or overriding it with a newer one.

            This is maintenance. Maintenance is not an issue if you deal with it, if you don't deal with it, then it is an issue.

      • M95D an hour ago

        Nicely said, but the reality is that no software is "perfected", just abandoned.

        Hell, even sysvinit had some big updates recently.

        • cenamus an hour ago

          qmail

          Also many common lisp packages, 15-20 years old and work perfectly fine.

        • supportengineer an hour ago

          qmail, djbdns, grep, awk, sed, TeX, SQLite, zlib, curl

      • IAmBroom 6 hours ago

        That is a hysterically wrong statement.

        It is true of Solitaire, Minesweeper, Calculator, and Notepad, and probably about the same number of programs on other OSes. (Notepad has recently had an important expansion of functionality, but it didn't NEED that change.)

        It's also true of some dinosaurs I have on my system, that copy DVDs and so forth.

        It's not true of most other applications, nor can it be true, unless the app works in a sealed, unchanging environment.

        Even then... Voyager 2 recently required a software upgrade, IIRC.

        • supportengineer an hour ago

          You don't think Notepad needed AI, a subscription model, and interstitial ads?

        • Wololooo 6 hours ago

          The point is everything require maintenance, the degree at which it does require it depends on how dependent you are on it and how resilient the system itself is.

          You are but going to fundamentally be in distress if solitaire and minesweeper is not running, if your monitoring SW for some important infrastructure starts to exhibit some issues, you might want to take a look or two...

      • blueflow 8 hours ago

        Maybe we need a Linux distro based on "inactive" software and look how reliably it performs.

        • ii41 7 hours ago

          I was once forced to use older (but not deprecated) LTS Ubuntu and I hated it. New software come out and you're gonna want to use them (often forced to use them), and they of course use newer dependencies. I had to do the distribution maintainer job and package a bunch of software myself.

          • marssaxman 6 hours ago

            What sort of work do you do?

            I only use LTS distributions, and this is not a problem I have encountered, so I wonder what accounts for the difference in our experiences.

            • spott 5 hours ago

              I think this depends on how they are used.

              If you are leaning on the package manager for managing things like Python, then they are really annoying.

              If you are just skipping that and using something like UV, then you won’t care that LTS only has python 3.9 or similar.

              If you are trying to use them interactively, then they can be annoying because everything new isn’t available. If you are using them as a server for running pre-packaged code, then they are fine.

        • BirAdam 8 hours ago

          s/inactive/stable/

          Well, when you talk about a distribution there's a different issue.

          The entire Linux ecosystem is constantly shifting with each package releasing new versions, and therefore everything else must be updated to accommodate the changes in the dependency tree.

          You could get away with some stuff being only stable versions, but things like mesa, x11, chrome, etc... would still be constantly changing as would their dependency trees.

      • AlienRobot 2 hours ago

        You'd think so, but you make something then it doesn't work on a new version of windows, or it doesn't work on a new version of python because one of your dependencies isn't available for that version of python, or it doesn't work on linux if it doesn't have a specific version of packages, or it doesn't work on the browser because they're ditching manifest v2, or it doesn't work on android because you need to provide more personal information or your app will be unpublished.

        At this point I have a feeling "perfect" software only exists in hardware like consoles where updates just stop one day.

      • rs186 5 hours ago

        LOL. As soon as Python 3.8 is deprecated/replaced by Python 3.9+ in most systems, python packages that depend on old APIs become useless until updated. Any half decent software engineer understands this.

  • andersmurphy 11 hours ago

    I find it more concerning that the DoD uses node.

    I might be wrong but npm etc feels like a very large attack surface.

    • dghlsakjg 6 hours ago

      Why?

      The DOD is one of the world's largest organizations. There are people there who do things like publish newsletters and put up webpages for people like boy scouts to arrange tour bases. It is totally fine to use Node for things like that.

      Those systems are not connected to the systems that fire missiles. If the sign up page for the 4th of July fireworks announcement gets vandalized, it isn't really an issue.

    • lantry 9 hours ago

      The DoD is a huge organization, so I'd guess they use almost everything.

      • kube-system 8 hours ago

        > The DoD is a huge organization

        That's an understatement if there ever was one.

        https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_largest_employers

        • chamomeal 5 hours ago

          Woah that’s insane, I didn’t realize it was THAT big. And that’s not even counting the zillions of contractors and consultants. I live in the DC area and I know a ton of people who work for places that contract for the DOD, and only like 2 people who actually work there

          • spott 5 hours ago

            That is including all us military personnel, which puts it into perspective a bit.

        • ARandomerDude 5 hours ago

          I think I'm even more amazed that Walmart has almost as many employees as the DoD.

  • andai 5 hours ago

    >It’s not until I change downloads to 1 billion downloads that we see 1 package maintained by 1 person, and 9 packages maintained by more than 1.

    Which one is that?

  • ozim 3 hours ago

    After reading. For a person that calls out how people are not smart the author takes quite of mental shortcuts to make his point work.

    NPM downloads are not equal to amount of projects as people plug in their CI/CD to download package on each build.

    Then assuming just by sheer number that there must be something critical in the set or at least super important. Without putting effort to track at least one in some way.

    That’s at least lazy especially if you call people „smart”. Then throw up some numbers thinking you’re the smart one.

  • hermannj314 8 hours ago

    The DoD is very efficient at finding something they are getting for free and convincing everyone it's in their best interest to pay a team of contractors for it.

    • kube-system 8 hours ago

      The city of Troy kind of got fucked that one time by free shit.

      • IAmBroom 6 hours ago

        Come on, tell me you don't want a pony!

  • ivanjermakov 4 hours ago

    Too bad the notion of completed/finished/done software is very weak. In theory, there it nothing wrong with an OSS project made by one person.

    I would like to see the LOC these one-person projects with >1M downloads have. I suspect most of these are a simple Node/browser/OS API single-file wrappers that are simple to get right and treat it as complete.

    At the same time such projects are easy to verify upon adding as dependency. Lately, I've just copy-pasted relevant parts of a library to my project because adding it as a dependency has a cost. I doubt this is a common practice though, especially in NPM land.

  • phkahler 2 hours ago

    Most the stuff on github is something one person wrote, stuck on there, and nobody uses. Then there's a bunch of things that are one person, but some small number of people use or have used it. Most big OSS programs have more than one person behind them. The vulnerable things tend to be dependencies of larger projects - small, but useful enough to get used in larger things.

  • ChrisMarshallNY 10 hours ago

    I've heard good things about work done by this guy Linus. I'm pretty sure that I've used his work.

    I think he comes from a country that borders Russia, so should we be worried?

    I've done OSS for decades; mostly by myself, but sometimes, in teams of volunteers.

    If anyone has any experience, working in teams of volunteers, it can be ... challenging.

    It can definitely work, but not as often as you'd think. If it works, there's usually some "BDFL," or a common goal that has everyone on the same beam. In my case, it was usually the latter.

    • tarvaina 8 hours ago

      (Off topic.)

      Not only that, but Linus's parents were politically active communists and young Linus was a pioneer (like a boy scout but for communists). His father also lived in Moscow for several years on two separate occasions.

      • ChrisMarshallNY 8 hours ago

        I don't think Russia (or China, either) has been truly communist, in a long time.

        Not sure there are any real communist nations left. It's one of those ideologies that looks good on paper, but falls apart, as soon as humans get added to the soup.

        Idealists never seem to account for base human nature.

        • skeeter2020 6 hours ago

          >> It's one of those ideologies that looks good on paper, but falls apart, as soon as humans get added...

          Name an ideology where this doesn't happen.

          • ChrisMarshallNY 6 hours ago

            True, dat…

          • renewiltord 3 hours ago

            Constitutional democracies with a free market have had a long run so far. We shall see if they last.

            • seangrogg 3 hours ago

              Curious how we're defining "democracy" and "free market" with this one. I wonder how countries with a pure democracy and an actually free market compare to the republic and regulated market we have in the US.

              • renewiltord 3 hours ago

                The US is a constitutional democracy with a free market and I consider it successful.

                The definitions of these words can be the predominant use of these words in the English language. But if you want "constitutional democracy" here use this: https://civiced.org/lesson-plans/constitutional-democracy

                And for free market here, use this: https://www.investopedia.com/terms/f/freemarket.asp

                People frequently misunderstand "constitutional democracy" as being substantially different from "republic" but that's usually an ESL error that can be fixed quickly.

                • latexr 33 minutes ago

                  > The US is a constitutional democracy with a free market and I consider it successful.

                  Out of all the definitions you gave, I feel you left out the most important. How exactly are you defining “successful”? Considering the current state of the US, that one seems really important.

                • seangrogg an hour ago

                  > The free market is an economic system based on supply and demand with little or no government control.

                  Given the amount of government subsidy and regulation that exists in our markets I assume this, too, is a simply ESL error that can be fixed quickly?

                • idiotsecant 3 hours ago

                  The vast majority of markets in the US are hardly free. Every single large company in the US is heavily government subsidized, market protectionism is rife, and regulatory capture and artificial moat-building is the norm. I think it's quite a stretch to day we have a free market. Maybe a 'free-er' market.

                  • renewiltord 2 hours ago

                    So be it. s/free/free-er/g in comments above if that will lead to convergence.

              • krapp 3 hours ago

                >I wonder how countries with a pure democracy and an actually free market compare to the republic and regulated market we have in the US.

                They don't exist.

            • idiotsecant 3 hours ago

              Yeah, someone should make one of those. Would be interesting to see how they compare to the current 'free market' 'democracies'.

        • ii41 7 hours ago

          Your parent comment labeled themselves off-topic but I'd say they were still pretty on it, but you're like way too off-topic. The point isn't whether some country or some people are real communists or not, but that an individual shouldn't be harassed for maintaining open source software and can somehow be linked to some rival of the West.

          • ChrisMarshallNY 7 hours ago

            Fair point.

            But, to be fair, the note about not taking human nature into account, applies everywhere.

            I think that we've all seen very smart people fail to account for human nature, and things go badly.

            Open source/free work is very human, and I have found it important to keep human nature in mind, as I work.

            • lo_zamoyski 3 hours ago

              I agree that ignoring human nature is a bad move. In fact, a recipe for disaster for many reasons. Repress or disrespect it, and it will come back roaring with a vengeance.

              I also agree that empirically, communism is always a disaster.

              But I would also say that communism doesn't even look good on paper. It looks terrifying! To naive and frankly clueless young minds with no appreciation of human nature, human society, and so on, a superficial acquaintance with the subject matter might seem nice, as it might play on tropes and juvenile grievances, envies, and sentiments. But an honest look at it by an intellectually properly formed and informed mind will inspire horror. It is a dehumanizing ideology.

              Now, that doesn't mean our hyperindividualist, capitalistic, and liberal consumerist societies don't have their share of poison. They do, and again, to a good degree because they misconstrue human nature. But communism or even socialism are no solution to these ills.

              (JPII's "Centesimus Annus"[0], among more academic works by him and others, addresses some of this. People often pay attention to his anti-socialist, anti-communist legacy, but remain unaware of his critical stance toward capitalism and liberalism.)

              [0] https://www.vatican.va/content/john-paul-ii/en/encyclicals/d...

        • keybored 3 hours ago

          > Not sure there are any real communist nations left. It's one of those ideologies that looks good on paper, but falls apart, as soon as humans get added to the soup.

          > Idealists never seem to account for base human nature.

          Are the implicit “in practice” (cf on paper) and “base human nature” weird synonyms for America invading or doing a coup?

      • lo_zamoyski 8 hours ago

        > Linus was a pioneer

        Being a Young Pioneer or joining the Komsomol was not officially mandatory, but it functioned as a gatekeeper for any kind of advancement. Party membership operated the same way.

        So, by themselves, they don't tell you whether the person in question is a communist.

        • rauli_ 7 hours ago

          Not in Finland which has never been a communist country. His parents were just political activists who forced young Linus to participate in that as well. Linus has said that the experience made him very apolitical person.

          • lo_zamoyski 7 hours ago

            Ah, whoops! I mistook Linus as the name of the Russian developer in question, whose name is actually Denis.

            (The whole first name thing in software circles kind of irritates me.)

            • ChrisMarshallNY 7 hours ago

              Well, my use of his first name was kind of a joke. I apologize for the confusion.

              There's very few folks in software that can be recognized uniquely, by their first name, but he's one.

    • kube-system 7 hours ago

      Linux is a well supported project with a lot of maintainers and support, it isn't a one-man project by Linus.

      • ChrisMarshallNY 7 hours ago

        Not anymore, but that was not always the case. He just has an extremely strong will, and a force of personality, that was able to shepherd the project through its nascent challenges.

        I have founded fairly important projects (nowhere near on the scale of his work, though), but I don't have the force of personality he does, so tossing the keys to a new team, and walking away, is what worked for me.

        • kube-system 7 hours ago

          Of course, and likewise it wasn't always the case that Linux was a well trusted operating system with a robust supply chain. It took a lot of time, people, and investment to prove that out. The organizations who cared about their technology supply chain, didn't adopt it until that was the case. These are some of the forces that built companies like Red Hat.

      • iwontberude 6 hours ago

        I feel like you’ve missed the sarcasm here and zeroed in on correcting PC. Good old HN

  • BirAdam 8 hours ago

    This reminds me of the observation that adding people to a project doesn't necessarily increase productivity that much...

  • vitonsky 9 hours ago

    Huh, I just checked stats on ecosyste.ms

    It looks they consider as maintainer only those people who listed on package.json, not a real number of contributors on github or anything.

    So all conclusions in this post is based on wrong assumption and incorrect data interpretation. That's all you need to know about it.

    I think you could list random people on github in your package.json to looks cool in eyes of stats cultists.

    • em-bee 9 hours ago

      that and, i would argue that npm in particular is filled with lots of small projects and only very few large ones simply by the nature of the ecosystem. it is the wrong place to look. something better would probably be to eg count the contributors on github, or, on npm, analyze project dependencies and distinguish projects that are directly downloaded vs those that are loaded as a dependency. arguably, dependencies can be replaced by the developers of the project using it, so a developer of a dependency disappearing is less dramatic than if you use that project directly.

      technically speaking, if you have a large project with many contributors, every contributor is often still only responsible for one small part of the project. linux kernel drivers and subsystems most have their dedicated developers. and very few of them each.

      • 0cf8612b2e1e 6 hours ago

        leftpad was a minuscule project that could have been created by anyone. Yet its deletion caused chaos. There are certainly load bearing projects of moderate complexity that are still single person efforts.

        • em-bee 5 hours ago

          right, but the problem here was the deletion of the module, not the disappearance of the maintainer. in the later case the module would have remained, and if it would stop to work because of some incompatibility in a future js, people would replace it

          • 0cf8612b2e1e 5 hours ago

            You could also imagine leftpad was using some security compromised library (eg log4j). If the project is of moderate complexity and there is nobody behind the wheel to maintain it, what happens to the ecosystem?

            • em-bee 3 hours ago

              basically, my rule of thumb is that i have to be prepared to take over and maintain any dependency that i use. it's all part of my code. if i am not prepared to do that then i better avoid pulling in the dependency in the first place.

              the leftpad example, as it happened, was not a maintainer issue. had the maintainer just stopped working on it, replacing leftpad would have been a no brainer for anyone taking their project seriously. deleting leftpad was deliberate sabotage by the maintainer, even if he may not have predicted the consequences.

              i dare say that the leftpad incident would not have affected me because i never deploy live depending on remote resources. everything needed to deploy is cached, and the only time leftpad disappearance would have affected me is when setting up a new project, at which point the failure to build would be an oops, there is a bug, we need to fix it kind of situation.

              i don't rely on others such that if they don't do their work my house would come crashing down. if that happens, then that's on me. i rely on things that have been proven to be stable. a maintainer disappearing does not affect the current stability of any of my systems. it only affects future upgrades, and i can deal with those.

              even security issues don't necessarily depend on the maintainer such that only the maintainer could fix them. that's the whole point of FOSS, that anyone can fix issues if necessary. in the worst case someone out there would work on a patch to fix the log4j issue, or, remove it as a dependency. if the issue is critical enough for me, then that someone might even be myself.

    • msgodel 4 hours ago

      Maintainers and contributors have overlapping but subtly different responsibilities AFAIK.

      Maintainers are the ones responsible in the end for the state of the repo while contributors suggest changes.

      • vitonsky 3 hours ago

        I have couple open source NPM packages I develop together with other developers. In some of this packages I have less than 50% contributions in code. But I listed as contributor on NPM, just because I found this packages and did not update contributors list a long time.

        So definitions does not matter when stats that author refers, does not include a developers who own over 50% code in repo, but includes me as contributor.

        That's widely known problem of programmers to believe that world is perfect and all data are always actual. Actually it won't.

  • speakingmoistly 16 hours ago

    [Relevant xkcd.](https://xkcd.com/2347/)

    It's interesting to see the periodic rediscovery of "capitalism + technology relies on unpaid, voluntary labour", or as the author puts it, "Open source, the thing that drives the world, the thing Harvard says has an economic value of 8.8 trillion dollars".

    The one flaw that I see in the author's analysis though is that they don't seem to account for whether the packages accounted for by their source have dependents or monthly downloads. There's *a lot* of dead code out there. When excluding abandoned packages, I bet the picture is still grim, but it might be less so.

    • EdiX 3 hours ago

      > capitalism + technology relies on unpaid, voluntary labour

      You are falling into the breadtube trap of faulting capitalism for a societal issue that has nothing to do with it. Did capitalism force people to have productive hobbies? Would you prefer a system, other than capitalism, that prevented people from having productive hobbies?

      Often times this error relies on the assumption that capitalism is what's preventing us from having an "idealized" version of communism that I've heard aptly described as Gay Luxury Space Communism, where anyone can do anything they want and society just magically pays for it. The problem is that GLSC isn't real, we'd need ~infinite resources to do it.

      I personally blame this problem on charities. This is the type of problem that charities and foundations should solve but there is no safeguard for charity money actually going to the charity's cause of action, instead the moment you create any kind of non profit it transforms into Non Profit (inc) and all the money it received goes to (1) professional non-profit people for the job of raising money and redistributing it, (2) shuffled to other non-profits, (3) thinly disguised political activism.

    • sorrythanks 10 hours ago

      half way down the page:

      > So now, let’s look at the number of maintainers for projects with over 1 million downloads this month.

      • speakingmoistly 8 hours ago

        Fair point, I glossed over that part a bit fast.

        It does go in the direction I thought it would though. I'd be curious to see (or to take) a look a little deeper at what those thousand of packages are.

    • thisoneworks 7 hours ago

      You can frame the "unpaid voluntary labor" as "creative work" and it would start making a whole lot of sense. "Creative work thrives despite being unpaid in capitalist society."

    • socalgal2 6 hours ago

      I’d state that as capitalism + technology provides enough surplus money and time that people can work on hobbies

  • andai 5 hours ago

    Open Source is just a guy, and The Internet is just his computer.

  • mikeytown2 5 hours ago

    Drupal isn't one person last time I checked; but yes this is correct for almost all projects

  • poulpy123 10 hours ago

    The title of the register article is completely disgusting

    > Putin on the code: DoD reportedly relies on utility written by Russian dev

    then in the article:

    > Hunted Labs told us that it didn't speak to Malinochkin prior to publication of its report today, and that it found no ties between him and any threat actor.

    • shark1 6 hours ago

      Yeah, the subtle way to plant an idea. It's a crime again to a person have "certain nationalities".

    • actionfromafar 9 hours ago

      Aren't Russian developers on average more susceptible to the "wrench attack" though?

      • pabs3 8 hours ago

        Not necessarily, Australia has a law allowing the government to compel software devs to add backdoors and gag them to prevent people hearing about the backdoors.

        https://scarff.id.au/blog/2023/state-actors-can-add-a-backdo...

      • ChrisMarshallNY 8 hours ago

        Many of them don't live in Russia.

        Some of the best engineers that I've worked with (in the US and Europe) are Russian. I've also been quite impressed with other former Iron Curtain developers. A lot of Chinese folks I've worked with have been good.

        I know that some nations are known for threatening the relatives of expats, to get them to work on their behalf. Not very nice.

        But state-sponsored Russian (or other nations, as well) is definitely something to be concerned about. I suspect a number of folks are concerned about the influence of American programmers. The CIA is known for using fairly innocuous employees of NPOs. My father was one.

        • kube-system 8 hours ago

          > Many of them don't live in Russia.

          Well Malinochkin does. His GitHub profile says he is located in a suburb 30 minutes from the Kremlin.

          Of course, there's a lot of smart software engineers in major cities all around the world.

          • oneshtein 8 hours ago

            The FSB is looking for people they can recruit, even here, on HackerNews, too. Look at the HN news history. You will find stories about Russian history or culture. In comments, some people are expressing their fascination with Russia or its culture. This is how FSB identifies potential sympathizers, who are easy to recruit. Most likely, some of those, who expressed their sympathy under such news articles a year or two ago, are already recruited by FSB.

      • em-bee 9 hours ago

        they would probably still fake their identity to hide their tracks.

    • weirdpickles 7 hours ago

      Yeah, it is pretty amazing but not surprising. The Register has taken to a certain kind of sensationalism as of late.

      I found this interesting:

      > "Every piece of code written by Russians isn't automatically suspect, but popular packages with no external oversight are ripe for the taking by state or state-backed actors looking to further their aims," Smith told us in an email. "As a whole, the open source community should be paying more attention to this risk and mitigating it."

      Uh, I guess? The nature of open source is supposed to be that the dev provides the effort and the code, and that's where the guarantee stops. It is up to the people who uses it to implement and ensure security. People treat OSS like it is a business product that must have drop-in replacement ready at all times.

      The modern nature of development is perhaps my biggest gripe as a professional. There is little care given. Projects begin with importing dozens of other packages and libraries that we never look at, let alone fully understand. And it is normalized.

    • aurareturn 8 hours ago

        The title of the register article is completely disgusting
      
      Nearly all The Register articles are clickbaits or rage baits.
      • nwellnhof 8 hours ago

        They're also from Great Britain which seems to have the most irrational hatred for everything Russian.

  • dzonga 5 hours ago

    the west or those with largely liberal viewpoints who think in black and white vs seeing the world as grey are gonna cost the west a lot.

    we already saw this - with 'cancel' mafia.

    because russia or i.e putin invaded ukraine doesn't mean the whole russia is bad. or you shouldn't interact with russia at all. no one stopped interacting with usa after they invaded iraq.

    just because russia doesn't give a shit about lgbtq rights doesn't mean russia is a bad country. likewise just because china runs an explicit authoritarian system - it doesn't mean its a country - china bad.

    trump and his idiotic gvt kinda recognize this - but they're also doing it the wrong way.

    anyways - trade with enemies / friends alike as long as they're benefits to be realized.

  • axelpacheco 7 hours ago

    Another case of power law distribution being all around us. I wonder how many commits of the 1M+ downloads projects maintained by more than one person, were done by just one person?

  • lofaszvanitt 3 hours ago

    "Open source, the thing that drives the world, the thing Harvard says has an economic value of 8.8 trillion dollars (also a big number)."

    Yeah, but the maintainer almost never sees anything from it. And most of the people cannot monetize oss based projects, because they don't have the expertise for it.

    OSS is the biggest farce ever. Same when people say patents are evil. Ridiculous. A handful of people spoon fed this universal bullshite to people and they believed it.

    Remember people that proper governments plan tens of years ahead. In this context, OSS was first, so AI systems would have ample source code to be trained on.